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BeatTheMarket

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-10

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

48

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with BeatTheMarket, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=76

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

79

76 graded · 3 void

Win rate

60.5%

95% CI 49%–71%

Profit

+66.5u

over 397u staked

Yield

+16.8%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

7

Longest losing streak

5

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.3u

from a +67.5u peak · bottomed 2026-10-10

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 76

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±85.5u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap5956.9%+35.4u
Handicap8—+20.2u
Match winner5—−2.3u
Draw no bet3—−1.7u
Asian over under1—+4.0u
Double chance1—+3.0u
Over/Under1—+4.8u
Unmapped1—+3.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Por. Other2660.0%+21.6u
Por. Cup1484.6%+43.1u
Women5—+3.7u
CONCACAF CL↗CONCACAF CL league page4—+12.3u
Division 24—+6.0u
Friendly3—−5.9u
Friendly matches↗Friendly matches league page3—+6.5u
League B↗League B league page3—−8.0u
Por. Superliga↗Por. Superliga league page3—−15.0u
League C↗League C league page2—−1.0u
Livebet2—+0.1u
Other2—−1.8u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 23h before kickoff — median over 54 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

SU Sintrense vs Amora

Por. Other

Lost

Away +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-25* · tipped 2h before

Uniao SC Paredes vs CD Trofense

Por. Other

Won

Home (-1.0)Handicap

Tipster odds
1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-24* · tipped 26h before

Varzim vs Guimaraes B

Por. Other

Won

Away +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-25* · tipped 28h before

Vianense vs USC Paredes

Por. Other

Lost

Away -0.25 AHFT

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-10* · tipped 4h before

AD Castro Daire vs Estrela da Calheta FC

Por. Other

Lost

Away +0.5,+1.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

Juventude Desportiva Lajense vs Juventude de Evora

Por. Other

Lost

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-10-04*

USC Paredes vs AD Fafe

Por. Other

Won

Home 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13* · tipped 2d 6h before

Louletano DC vs UD Santarem

Por. Other

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12* · tipped 25h before

Caldas SC vs GD Vitoria de Sernache

Por. Other

Lost

Away +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13* · tipped 28h before

Juventude Desportiva Lajense vs Vitoria Setubal

Por. Other

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06* · tipped 22h before

Brito SC vs SC Maria da Fonte

Por. Other

Won

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06* · tipped 20h before

Fast Clube vs Chaves

Por. Other

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06* · tipped 8h before

UD de Leiria vs Portimonense SC

Por. Other

Won

Home -0.25 AHFT

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06* · tipped 2h before

Salgueiros vs AD Machico

Por. Other

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-04* · tipped 2h before

Braga B vs CDC Montalegre

Por. Other

Lost

HomeFull Time Result

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-05* · tipped 28h before

SC Vianense vs FC Paços de Ferreira

Por. Other

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-05* · tipped 22h before

FC Tirsense vs Fast Clube

Por. Other

Won

Home 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Braganca vs Braga B

Por. Other

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23* · tipped 5h before

FC Pacos Ferreira vs Uniao SC Paredes

Por. Other

Won

Away (+0.5)Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-15*

Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Leca FC

Por. Other

Lost

Away (+0.5)Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-15*

Louletano DC vs CF Os Belenenses

Por. Other

Won

Away (+0.5)Handicap

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-15*

Louletano DC vs CF Os Belenenses

Por. Other

Won

Away1x2

Tipster odds
2.58+15879/501.58+1.58-0.63
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-15*

AD Machico vs Estrela Amadora

Por. Other

Won

Under 3.00,3.50Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-15*

Serpa vs Vitoria Setubal

Por. Other

Lost

AwayDraw No Bet

Tipster odds
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

GD Portel vs SU Sintrense

Por. Other

Void

AwayDraw No Bet

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
SU Sintrense vs AmoraPor. Other2026-10-25*tipped 2h beforeAway +0.5Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——LOST
Uniao SC Paredes vs CD TrofensePor. Other2026-10-24*tipped 26h beforeHome (-1.0)Handicap1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97——WON
Varzim vs Guimaraes BPor. Other2026-10-25*tipped 28h beforeAway +0.5Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Vianense vs USC ParedesPor. Other2026-10-10*tipped 4h beforeAway -0.25 AHFT1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——LOST
AD Castro Daire vs Estrela da Calheta FCPor. Other2026-10-04*Away +0.5,+1.0Asian Handicap2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——LOST
Juventude Desportiva Lajense vs Juventude de EvoraPor. Other2026-10-04*Away 0.0Asian Handicap2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——LOST
USC Paredes vs AD FafePor. Other2026-09-13*tipped 2d 6h beforeHome 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88——WON
Louletano DC vs UD SantaremPor. Other2026-09-12*tipped 25h beforeHome 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST
Caldas SC vs GD Vitoria de SernachePor. Other2026-09-13*tipped 28h beforeAway +0.5Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——LOST
Juventude Desportiva Lajense vs Vitoria SetubalPor. Other2026-09-06*tipped 22h beforeAway 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——WON
Brito SC vs SC Maria da FontePor. Other2026-09-06*tipped 20h beforeHome 0.0Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Fast Clube vs ChavesPor. Other2026-09-06*tipped 8h beforeAway 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——WON
UD de Leiria vs Portimonense SCPor. Other2026-09-06*tipped 2h beforeHome -0.25 AHFT1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96——WON
Salgueiros vs AD MachicoPor. Other2026-09-04*tipped 2h beforeHome 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93——LOST
Braga B vs CDC MontalegrePor. Other2026-09-05*tipped 28h beforeHomeFull Time Result1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
SC Vianense vs FC Paços de FerreiraPor. Other2026-09-05*tipped 22h beforeAway 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
FC Tirsense vs Fast ClubePor. Other2026-08-23*Home 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Braganca vs Braga BPor. Other2026-08-23*tipped 5h beforeAway 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
FC Pacos Ferreira vs Uniao SC ParedesPor. Other2026-08-15*Away (+0.5)Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
Vitoria de Guimaraes vs Leca FCPor. Other2026-08-15*Away (+0.5)Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST
Louletano DC vs CF Os BelenensesPor. Other2026-08-15*Away (+0.5)Handicap1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43——WON
Louletano DC vs CF Os BelenensesPor. Other2026-08-15*Away1x22.58+15879/501.58+1.58-0.63——WON
AD Machico vs Estrela AmadoraPor. Other2026-08-15*Under 3.00,3.50Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Serpa vs Vitoria SetubalPor. Other2026-08-16*AwayDraw No Bet1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73——LOST
GD Portel vs SU SintrensePor. Other2026-08-16*AwayDraw No Bet1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67——VOID

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

1–25 of 26· 15 won / 10 lost · +21.6u · +16.6% yield · of 79 total

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