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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Czarni Sosnowiec (w) vs Breidablik (w)

Football · Women. Qualification. Final. First leg

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-30*

Pustertal vs Black Wings Linz

Ice Hockey · Livebet

Won

Home or DrawDouble Chance

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Coruxo vs Gernika

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Yeclano vs Elche

Football · Livebet

Void

Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Yeclano vs Elche

Football · Livebet

Won

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

FC Hebar Pazardzhik vs Dobrudzha 1919 Dobrich

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 1.5FC Hebar Pazardzhik Goals

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Union Santa Fe (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Boca Juniors (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Thyella Rafinas vs AO Neas Ionias

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away or DrawDouble Chance

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Novorizontino U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -0.5,-1.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Levanger vs Grorud

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Won

Away +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Gefle vs Vasalunds

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 1.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-27*

Slovan Liberec B vs Benatky Nad Jizerou

Football · Livebet

Won

Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W) vs Sparta Prague (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Pakistan vs Thailand

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - ThailandHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

SK Benesov vs Slavia Prague U20

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

FC Rapid 1923 (W) vs SSU Politehnica Timisoara (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home +3Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

MKS Myszkow (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM II (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Vitesse U21 vs Fortuna Sittard

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 4.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Karsiyaka vs Gaziemirspor

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - KarsiyakaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Karsiyaka vs Gaziemirspor

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 0.51st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Karsiyaka vs Gaziemirspor

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Barbados vs Saint Lucia

Football · League B

Lost

Over 8.25Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26 · tipped 2d 2h before

Korona Kielce III vs Wicher Miedziana Gora

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Sochaux U19 vs Lyon U19

Football · U19. Youth League

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Afragolese 1944 vs US Venafro

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - Afragolese 1944Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Czarni Sosnowiec (w) vs Breidablik (w)Football · Women. Qualification. Final. First leg2026-09-30*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
Pustertal vs Black Wings LinzIce Hockey · Livebet2026-09-27*Home or DrawDouble Chance2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——WON
Coruxo vs GernikaFootball · Livebet2026-09-27*Away 0.0,-0.5Asian Handicap2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93——WON
Yeclano vs ElcheFootball · Livebet2026-09-27*Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——VOID
Yeclano vs ElcheFootball · Livebet2026-09-27*Home 0.0Asian Handicap2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——WON
FC Hebar Pazardzhik vs Dobrudzha 1919 DobrichFootball · Livebet2026-09-27*Over 1.5FC Hebar Pazardzhik Goals1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
Union Santa Fe (W) vs Boca Juniors (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-27*Away - Boca Juniors (W)Half Time/Full Time2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Thyella Rafinas vs AO Neas IoniasFootball · Livebet2026-09-27*Away or DrawDouble Chance2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Novorizontino U20 vs Portuguesa Santista U20Football · Livebet2026-09-27*Home -0.5,-1.0Asian Handicap1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88——WON
Levanger vs GrorudFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-09-27*Away +0.5Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Gefle vs VasalundsFootball · Livebet2026-09-27*Over 1.5Goal Line2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——LOST
Slovan Liberec B vs Benatky Nad JizerouFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73——WON
Lokomotiva BH Herspice (W) vs Sparta Prague (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-26*Away -11st Half Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Pakistan vs ThailandFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Away - ThailandHalf Time/Full Time2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
SK Benesov vs Slavia Prague U20Football · Livebet2026-09-26*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72——LOST
FC Rapid 1923 (W) vs SSU Politehnica Timisoara (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-26*Home +3Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——LOST
MKS Myszkow (W) vs Lech Poznan UAM II (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-26*Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——WON
Vitesse U21 vs Fortuna SittardFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Over 4.5Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Karsiyaka vs GaziemirsporFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Home - KarsiyakaHalf Time/Full Time3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40——LOST
Karsiyaka vs GaziemirsporFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Over 0.51st Half Goal Line2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST
Karsiyaka vs GaziemirsporFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Barbados vs Saint LuciaFootball · League B2026-09-26tipped 2d 2h beforeOver 8.25Goal Line1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——LOST
Korona Kielce III vs Wicher Miedziana GoraFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Sochaux U19 vs Lyon U19Football · U19. Youth League2026-09-20*Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Afragolese 1944 vs US VenafroFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Home - Afragolese 1944Half Time/Full Time3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

51–75 of 215

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