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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

47

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=192

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

219

192 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.9%

95% CI 40%–54%

Profit

−9.5u

over 242u staked

Yield

−3.9%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W3

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 192

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.5u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8349.3%−7.6u
Unmapped6748.5%+9.2u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13848.7%−1.5u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 25 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-08-25*

Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26*

America de Cali vs Junior Barranquilla

Football · Serie A

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26*

River Plate vs Independiente Santa Fe

Football · Round of 16. Second leg

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-08-27*

Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Naestved BK vs VSK Aarhus

Football · 2 division

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

PAOK Salonika vs SK Brann

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - PAOK SalonikaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-20*

Gresford Athletic vs Brickfield Rangers

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Brickfield RangersHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

CSKA Sofia vs Botev Vratsa

Football · League 1

Void

Home - CSKA SofiaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Lazio vs Mantova

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923

Football · Livebet

Lost

YesBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-16*

Cameroon (W) vs Nigeria (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

NoBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi Beograd

Football · Superleague

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Moreirense vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away - BragaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

Southern Districts Raiders vs Macarthur FC

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

NK Celje vs Ararat Armenia

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - NK CeljeHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

—

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73—1:2LOST
Alianza Atletico vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50—1:1LOST
Aldosivi vs Independiente RivadaviaFootball · Livebet2026-08-26*Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61——WON
America de Cali vs Junior BarranquillaFootball · Serie A2026-08-26*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33——WON
River Plate vs Independiente Santa FeFootball · Round of 16. Second leg2026-08-27*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44—1:1LOST
Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Naestved BK vs VSK AarhusFootball · 2 division2026-08-23*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
PAOK Salonika vs SK BrannFootball · Livebet2026-08-20*Home - PAOK SalonikaHalf Time/Full Time2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
Gresford Athletic vs Brickfield RangersFootball · Livebet2026-08-16*Away - Brickfield RangersHalf Time/Full Time2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57——WON
CSKA Sofia vs Botev VratsaFootball · League 12026-08-16*Home - CSKA SofiaHalf Time/Full Time2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——VOID
Lazio vs MantovaFootball · Livebet2026-08-16*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Partizan Belgrade vs FK Radnicki 1923Football · Livebet2026-08-16*YesBoth Teams To Score1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
Cameroon (W) vs Nigeria (W)Football · Livebet—NoBoth Teams To Score1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague—Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——LOST
Moreirense vs BragaFootball · Premier League—Away - BragaHalf Time/Full Time2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Southern Districts Raiders vs Macarthur FCFootball · Livebet—Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
NK Celje vs Ararat ArmeniaFootball · Livebet—Home - NK CeljeHalf Time/Full Time2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

51–67 of 67· 32 won / 34 lost · +9.2u · +13.2% yield · of 219 total

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