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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

SK Benesov vs Slavia Prague U20

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Karsiyaka vs Gaziemirspor

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - KarsiyakaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Karsiyaka vs Gaziemirspor

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Korona Kielce III vs Wicher Miedziana Gora

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Afragolese 1944 vs US Venafro

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - Afragolese 1944Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Benfica vs Gil Vicente

Football · Premier League

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13*

Hunedoara vs Universitatea Craiova

Football · League 1

Lost

Away - CS U CraiovaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13*

Al Minaa vs Duhok

Football · Superleague

Lost

Away - DuhokHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-18 · tipped 4d 23h before

Pecsi MFC (W) vs Szekszardi (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - Pecsi MFC (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

Brentford U21 vs Everton U21

Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 1

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13 · tipped 23h before

Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-08*

Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)

Football · Women. Primera division

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Lille U19 vs Chartres U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Paris FC (W) vs Nantes (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - Paris FC (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Catania vs Savoia 1908

Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 32

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-02*

Penarol (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - Penarol (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

RKSV UDI '19 vs TOGB

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away - Gintra Universitetas (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30*

Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli Jeddah

Football · Premier League

Lost

Away - Al Ittihad JeddahHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-01 · tipped 2d 23h before

Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San Carlos

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Lost

YesBoth Teams To Score

Tipster odds
4.50+3507/23.50+3.50-0.29
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-30 · tipped 19h before

FK Usti nad Labem B vs Sokol Hostoun

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Sokol HostounHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty Lviv

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-08-25*

Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
SK Benesov vs Slavia Prague U20Football · Livebet2026-09-26*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72——LOST
Karsiyaka vs GaziemirsporFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Home - KarsiyakaHalf Time/Full Time3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40——LOST
Karsiyaka vs GaziemirsporFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Korona Kielce III vs Wicher Miedziana GoraFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Afragolese 1944 vs US VenafroFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Home - Afragolese 1944Half Time/Full Time3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45——LOST
Benfica vs Gil VicenteFootball · Premier League2026-09-13*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Hunedoara vs Universitatea CraiovaFootball · League 12026-09-13*Away - CS U CraiovaHalf Time/Full Time3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50——LOST
Al Minaa vs DuhokFootball · Superleague2026-09-18tipped 4d 23h beforeAway - DuhokHalf Time/Full Time4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33——LOST
Pecsi MFC (W) vs Szekszardi (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-12*Home - Pecsi MFC (W)Half Time/Full Time2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——WON
Brentford U21 vs Everton U21Football · U21. Premier League 2. Division 12026-09-13tipped 23h beforeHome YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——WON
Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21Football · Livebet2026-09-08*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57——WON
Real Madrid (w) vs Eibar (w)Football · Women. Primera division2026-09-06*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——LOST
Lille U19 vs Chartres U19Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42——WON
Paris FC (W) vs Nantes (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Home - Paris FC (W)Half Time/Full Time1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——WON
Catania vs Savoia 1908Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 322026-09-02*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61——LOST
Penarol (W) vs Montevideo City Torque (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Home - Penarol (W)Half Time/Full Time2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——LOST
RKSV UDI '19 vs TOGBFootball · Livebet2026-08-30*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.91-11091/1000.91-1.10+0.91——WON
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Gintra Universitetas (w)Football · Livebet2026-08-30*Away - Gintra Universitetas (W)Half Time/Full Time1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
Al-Hilal SFC vs Al-Ahli JeddahFootball · Premier League2026-09-01tipped 2d 23h beforeAway - Al Ittihad JeddahHalf Time/Full Time3.40+24012/52.40+2.40-0.42——LOST
Deportivo Armenio vs Villa San CarlosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-30tipped 19h beforeYesBoth Teams To Score4.50+3507/23.50+3.50-0.29——LOST
FK Usti nad Labem B vs Sokol HostounFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Away - Sokol HostounHalf Time/Full Time2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71——WON
FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty LvivFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48——LOST
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73—1:2LOST
Alianza Atletico vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50—1:1LOST
Aldosivi vs Independiente RivadaviaFootball · Livebet2026-08-26*Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

26–50 of 64· 29 won / 34 lost · +5.5u · +8.4% yield · of 215 total

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