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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

CA Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Dender vs Patro Eisden Maasmechelen

Football · Division 2

Lost

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Real Zaragoza vs FC Cartagena

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.43+143143/1001.43+1.43-0.70
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More Varna

Football · League 1

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19*

Miedz Legnica U19 vs Escola Varsovia U19

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Nacka FC vs Ragsveds

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19*

South Africa U20 vs Lesotho U20

Football · Livebet

Void

Home -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19*

Union Plaani vs Reipas

Football · Livebet

Won

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19*

Osijek U19 vs Kustosija U19

Football · U19. Youth Championship

Void

Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.48+14837/251.48+1.48-0.68
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13*

Sogndal vs Strommen

Football · Division 1

Won

Away +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13*

Freiburg (w) vs Mainz (w)

Football · Women. Bundesliga

Lost

Away +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13*

Eibar (w) vs FC Badalona (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13*

Southern District vs Kitchee

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

Galatasaray U19 vs Kocaelispor U19

Football · U19. Elit Ligi

Won

Away -0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13 · tipped 23h before

Bolton vs Cardiff

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

China U20 (w) vs Spain U20 (w)

Football · U20. Women. Poland. Group stage

Won

Home +1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13 · tipped 23h before

Rosengard (w) vs Uppsala (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Won

Away +0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

Sutton Utd vs Birmingham U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-08*

Jordan U20 vs Tajikistan U20

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Lech Poznan vs Rakow Czestochowa

Football · Superleague

Won

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Fortuna Cologne vs Fortuna Dusseldorf

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

Sporting Lisbon U19 vs Galatasaray U19

Football · U19. League phase

Won

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-09 · tipped 2d 23h before

Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)

Football · U20. Women. Group stage

Lost

Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-07 · tipped 26h before

OH Leuven (W) vs Czarni Sosnowiec (w)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away +0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-02*

Catania vs Savoia 1908

Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 32

Lost

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-02*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
CA Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin FormosaFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——VOID
Dender vs Patro Eisden MaasmechelenFootball · Division 22026-09-20*Away 0.0Asian Handicap3.30+23023/102.30+2.30-0.43——LOST
Real Zaragoza vs FC CartagenaFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.43+143143/1001.43+1.43-0.70——LOST
Arda Kardzhali vs Cherno More VarnaFootball · League 12026-09-19*Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Miedz Legnica U19 vs Escola Varsovia U19Football · Livebet2026-09-20*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Nacka FC vs RagsvedsFootball · Livebet2026-09-19*Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——VOID
South Africa U20 vs Lesotho U20Football · Livebet2026-09-19*Home -11st Half Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——VOID
Union Plaani vs ReipasFootball · Livebet2026-09-19*Home 0.0Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Osijek U19 vs Kustosija U19Football · U19. Youth Championship2026-09-13*Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap2.48+14837/251.48+1.48-0.68——VOID
Sogndal vs StrommenFootball · Division 12026-09-13*Away +0.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Freiburg (w) vs Mainz (w)Football · Women. Bundesliga2026-09-13*Away +0.5Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——LOST
Eibar (w) vs FC Badalona (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-13*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74——WON
Southern District vs KitcheeFootball · Livebet2026-09-12*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
Galatasaray U19 vs Kocaelispor U19Football · U19. Elit Ligi2026-09-13tipped 23h beforeAway -0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——WON
Bolton vs CardiffFootball · Livebet2026-09-12*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——LOST
China U20 (w) vs Spain U20 (w)Football · U20. Women. Poland. Group stage2026-09-13tipped 23h beforeHome +1Asian Handicap1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65——WON
Rosengard (w) vs Uppsala (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-09-12*Away +0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——WON
Sutton Utd vs Birmingham U21Football · Livebet2026-09-08*Home -0.5Asian Handicap1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70——LOST
Jordan U20 vs Tajikistan U20Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Away 0.0Asian Handicap2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——WON
Lech Poznan vs Rakow CzestochowaFootball · Superleague2026-09-06*Home -0.5Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Fortuna Cologne vs Fortuna DusseldorfFootball · Livebet2026-09-06*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——VOID
Sporting Lisbon U19 vs Galatasaray U19Football · U19. League phase2026-09-09tipped 2d 23h beforeHome -0.5Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——WON
Spain U20 (w) vs Nigeria U20 (w)Football · U20. Women. Group stage2026-09-07tipped 26h beforeHome -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
OH Leuven (W) vs Czarni Sosnowiec (w)Football · Livebet2026-09-02*Away +0.5Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——LOST
Catania vs Savoia 1908Football · Serie C. Cup. Round of 322026-09-02*Home -1Asian Handicap2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

26–50 of 82· 34 won / 34 lost · −6.6u · −6.9% yield · of 215 total

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