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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

46

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=188

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

215

188 graded · 27 void

Win rate

46.3%

95% CI 39%–53%

Profit

−12.2u

over 237u staked

Yield

−5.2%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 188

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±37.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap8250.0%−6.6u
Unmapped6446.0%+5.5u
Over/Under3036.7%−10.7u
Asian over under2952.6%+2.0u
Handicap5—−4.1u
Draw no bet3—+1.5u
Double chance2—+0.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet13647.9%−3.8u
Premier League1430.8%−5.6u
Superleague7—+1.3u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page4—−4.5u
League 13—+0.1u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page3—+1.1u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
Women. Bundesliga3—+2.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Division 22—−1.0u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U19. League phase↗U19. League phase league page2—+0.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 2d before kickoff — median over 24 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Karsiyaka vs Gaziemirspor

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - KarsiyakaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Karsiyaka vs Gaziemirspor

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 0.51st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Karsiyaka vs Gaziemirspor

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-26*

Korona Kielce III vs Wicher Miedziana Gora

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Afragolese 1944 vs US Venafro

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home - Afragolese 1944Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Gernika vs UD Llanera

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

UC Ceares vs CD Colunga

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

CA Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin Formosa

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Real Zaragoza vs FC Cartagena

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.43+143143/1001.43+1.43-0.70
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Miedz Legnica U19 vs Escola Varsovia U19

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-20*

Nacka FC vs Ragsveds

Football · Livebet

Void

Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19*

South Africa U20 vs Lesotho U20

Football · Livebet

Void

Home -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19*

Union Plaani vs Reipas

Football · Livebet

Won

Home 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-19*

Aland United (W) vs KuPS (W)

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13*

Amarante vs UD Leiria

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 1.5UD Leiria Goals

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13*

Eibar (w) vs FC Badalona (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-13*

Southern District vs Kitchee

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

Pecsi MFC (W) vs Szekszardi (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home - Pecsi MFC (W)Half Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

Bolton vs Cardiff

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

HK Kopavogur (W) vs Volsungur (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 0.751st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-12*

Sutton Utd vs Birmingham U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-08*

Club Brugge vs Aston Villa

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 5.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93
Feed close
—
Score
2:3

2026-09-08*

Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-08*

Greenisland (W) vs Mid Ulster (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-09*

Jordan U20 vs Tajikistan U20

Football · Livebet

Won

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-09-06*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Karsiyaka vs GaziemirsporFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Home - KarsiyakaHalf Time/Full Time3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40——LOST
Karsiyaka vs GaziemirsporFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Over 0.51st Half Goal Line2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83——LOST
Karsiyaka vs GaziemirsporFootball · Livebet2026-09-26*Home YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Korona Kielce III vs Wicher Miedziana GoraFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Afragolese 1944 vs US VenafroFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Home - Afragolese 1944Half Time/Full Time3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45——LOST
Gernika vs UD LlaneraFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.38+13869/501.38+1.38-0.72——LOST
UC Ceares vs CD ColungaFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Away 0.0,+0.5Asian Handicap1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
CA Bartolome Mitre vs San Martin FormosaFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——VOID
Real Zaragoza vs FC CartagenaFootball · Livebet2026-09-20*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.43+143143/1001.43+1.43-0.70——LOST
Miedz Legnica U19 vs Escola Varsovia U19Football · Livebet2026-09-20*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
Nacka FC vs RagsvedsFootball · Livebet2026-09-19*Away 0.01st Half Asian Handicap1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78——VOID
South Africa U20 vs Lesotho U20Football · Livebet2026-09-19*Home -11st Half Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——VOID
Union Plaani vs ReipasFootball · Livebet2026-09-19*Home 0.0Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Aland United (W) vs KuPS (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-13*Over 2Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——VOID
Amarante vs UD LeiriaFootball · Livebet2026-09-13*Over 1.5UD Leiria Goals2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Eibar (w) vs FC Badalona (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-13*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74——WON
Southern District vs KitcheeFootball · Livebet2026-09-12*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98——WON
Pecsi MFC (W) vs Szekszardi (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-12*Home - Pecsi MFC (W)Half Time/Full Time2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——WON
Bolton vs CardiffFootball · Livebet2026-09-12*Away 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87——LOST
HK Kopavogur (W) vs Volsungur (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-12*Over 0.751st Half Goal Line2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95——WON
Sutton Utd vs Birmingham U21Football · Livebet2026-09-08*Home -0.5Asian Handicap1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70——LOST
Club Brugge vs Aston VillaFootball · Livebet2026-09-08*Over 5.5Goal Line1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93—2:3LOST
Wealdstone vs Stoke City U21Football · Livebet2026-09-08*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57——WON
Greenisland (W) vs Mid Ulster (W)Football · Livebet2026-09-09*Over 11st Half Goal Line1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——WON
Jordan U20 vs Tajikistan U20Football · Livebet2026-09-06*Away 0.0Asian Handicap2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77——WON

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

51–75 of 136· 56 won / 61 lost · −3.8u · −2.6% yield · of 215 total

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