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black.swan

Publishes on Blogabet · first tracked 2026-08-12

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

38

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Blogabet or with black.swan, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Blogabet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Published prices

Indicativen=89

Prices as published by the tipster — profit here is a return someone could have taken.

Settled

104

89 graded · 15 void

Win rate

39.3%

95% CI 30%–50%

Profit

−21.6u

over 115u staked

Yield

−18.7%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

6

Longest losing streak

12

Current streak

L4

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

−31.1u

from a +0.3u peak · bottomed 2026-09-04

Performance charts

Computed from published prices only, level stakes.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 89

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends inside the shaded band (±26.1u) — the range a bettor with no edge lands in 95% of the time, so this record is not yet distinguishable from chance.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Asian handicap3938.2%−15.2u
Unmapped2833.3%−4.0u
Asian over under1958.3%+3.4u
Over/Under1540.0%−4.7u
Draw no bet2——
Handicap1—−1.0u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Livebet6343.4%−7.6u
Premier League9—−3.3u
Superleague5—+0.8u
Serie C. Cup. Round of 32↗Serie C. Cup. Round of 32 league page3—−4.0u
U21. Premier League 2. Division 1↗U21. Premier League 2. Division 1 league page3—−6.0u
Women. Primera division↗Women. Primera division league page3—−4.0u
Liga Leumit↗Liga Leumit league page2—+2.1u
Primera B Metropolitana↗Primera B Metropolitana league page2—−1.0u
U20. Women. Group stage2—−4.0u
2 division↗2 division league page1—−1.0u
Bundesliga 2↗Bundesliga 2 league page1—+1.4u
League 11——

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 38h before kickoff — median over 13 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Young Lions U23 vs Balestier Khalsa FC U23

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty Lviv

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Verl vs Fortuna Cologne

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 1.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-29*

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Utsiktens vs Hacken

Football · Livebet

Void

Over 3Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
1:2

2026-08-25*

Peterhead vs Dundee B

Football · Livebet

Void

Home -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-08-25*

Peterhead vs Dundee B

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85
Feed close
—
Score
2:1

2026-08-25*

Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half

Tipster odds
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50
Feed close
—
Score
1:1

2026-08-25*

Aldosivi vs Independiente Rivadavia

Football · Livebet

Won

Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time

Tipster odds
2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-26*

Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19

Football · Livebet

Won

Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves

Tipster odds
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)

Football · Livebet

Won

Home -1Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Banaat vs Nasaf

Football · Livebet

Won

Over 4.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

CD Quintanar del Rey vs Huracan Balazote

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 2.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Actonians (W) vs QPR (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Away 0.0Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Atletico San Luis U21 vs Pachuca U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 11st Half Goal Line

Tipster odds
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

KuPS Kuopio vs IFK Mariehamn

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 6.5Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Bradford Women vs Stockport (W)

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home +1.5Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

Banik Ostrava B vs Arsenal Ceska Lipa

Football · Livebet

Lost

Over 2Goal Line

Tipster odds
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-23*

TJ Partizan Osrblie vs TJ Tatran Oravske Vesele

Football · Livebet

Void

Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Tomiris Turan (W) vs FK Ulytau (W)

Football · Livebet

Void

Home -11st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Wealdstone vs Wolverhampton U21

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-18*

Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FC

Football · Livebet

Lost

Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap

Tipster odds
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95
Feed close
—
Score
—

2026-08-19*

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Young Lions U23 vs Balestier Khalsa FC U23Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Away +1.0,+1.5Asian Handicap1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80——LOST
FC Livyi Bereh vs Karpaty LvivFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Away - Karpaty LvivHalf Time/Full Time3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48——LOST
Verl vs Fortuna CologneFootball · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 1.5Goal Line2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97——WON
Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Home -0.5,-1.01st Half Asian Handicap1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85——LOST
Brøndby IF (W) vs FC Copenhagen (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-29*Over 11st Half Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——WON
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In Both Halves1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73—1:2LOST
Utsiktens vs HackenFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Over 3Goal Line2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00—1:2VOID
Peterhead vs Dundee BFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Home -11st Half Asian Handicap2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87—2:1VOID
Peterhead vs Dundee BFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Over 2Goal Line1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85—2:1WON
Alianza Atletico vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Livebet2026-08-25*Away YesTeam To Score In 2nd Half3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50—1:1LOST
Aldosivi vs Independiente RivadaviaFootball · Livebet2026-08-26*Away - Independiente RivadaviaHalf Time/Full Time2.63+163163/1001.63+1.63-0.61——WON
Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93——LOST
Benfica U19 vs Torreense U19Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home YesTeam To Score In Both Halves2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91——WON
Atlas U19 (W) vs Leon U19 (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home -1Asian Handicap2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00——WON
Banaat vs NasafFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 4.5Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——WON
CD Quintanar del Rey vs Huracan BalazoteFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 2.5Goal Line2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80——LOST
Actonians (W) vs QPR (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Away 0.0Asian Handicap1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——LOST
Atletico San Luis U21 vs Pachuca U21Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 11st Half Goal Line2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71——LOST
KuPS Kuopio vs IFK MariehamnFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 6.5Goal Line1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Bradford Women vs Stockport (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-23*Home +1.5Asian Handicap1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83——LOST
Banik Ostrava B vs Arsenal Ceska LipaFootball · Livebet2026-08-23*Over 2Goal Line1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90——LOST
TJ Partizan Osrblie vs TJ Tatran Oravske VeseleFootball · Livebet2026-08-18*Home 0.01st Half Asian Handicap1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75——VOID
Tomiris Turan (W) vs FK Ulytau (W)Football · Livebet2026-08-18*Home -11st Half Asian Handicap1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95——VOID
Wealdstone vs Wolverhampton U21Football · Livebet2026-08-18*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67——LOST
Bolivar SC vs Dynamo Puerto FCFootball · Livebet2026-08-19*Home 0.0,-0.51st Half Asian Handicap2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95——LOST

* date as the source published it — not matched to a feed fixture.

26–50 of 63· 23 won / 30 lost · −7.6u · −11.4% yield · of 104 total

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