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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3917

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3918

3917 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3917u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72855.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149570.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

814

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3917

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198768.5%−84.4u
Match winner193160.5%−124.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3918 picks with a captured kickoff.

Trinec vs Usti nad Labem

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 2h before

Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 13m before

Barracas Central vs Rosario Central

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

CRB vs Novorizontino

Football · Serie B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Barra vs Itabaiana

Football · Serie C

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Always Ready vs Real Potosi

Football · Primera division

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.20 · −11.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 8m before

Mechelen vs Standard Liege

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga Gargzdai

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto Montt

Football · Serie B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.03 · +8.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 3h before

Racing Santander vs Villarreal

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-2

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Sogndal vs Sandnes Ulf

Football · Division 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro Metapan

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Deportes Limache vs Universidad Chile

Football · Serie A

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

BATE Borisov vs Vitebsk

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.35 · −16.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Academico Viseu vs Santa Clara

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.90 · +3.6% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs Vysocina Jihlava

Football · League 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Zob Ahan vs Foolad Khuzestan

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Hednesford Town vs Scarborough Athletic

Football · National league. North

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Coleraine vs Larne

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Bangor vs Cliftonville

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Ranheim vs Stromsgodset

Football · Division 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.55 · −4.3% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Sollentuna vs Järfälla

Football · Division 2. North

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Halifax Town vs Boreham Wood

Football · National league

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 39m before

Hoek vs Koninklijke

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 24m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Trinec vs Usti nad LabemFootball · League 22026-08-17first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—0-0WON
Houston Astros vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 13m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—2-3WON
Barracas Central vs Rosario CentralFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 8m beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—0-1WON
CRB vs NovorizontinoFootball · Serie B2026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—0-0WON
Barra vs ItabaianaFootball · Serie C2026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—1-0WON
Always Ready vs Real PotosiFootball · Primera division2026-08-16first seen 8m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.20 · −11.1% CLV1-1LOST
Mechelen vs Standard LiegeFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—3-3WON
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Banga GargzdaiFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—2-3LOST
Santiago Wanderers vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B2026-08-16first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.03 · +8.0% CLV1-1LOST
Racing Santander vs VillarrealFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-08-16first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-2WON
Sogndal vs Sandnes UlfFootball · Division 12026-08-16first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-0WON
Fuerte San Francisco vs Isidro MetapanFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—1-0LOST
Deportes Limache vs Universidad ChileFootball · Serie A2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-3WON
BATE Borisov vs VitebskFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.35 · −16.1% CLV1-0LOST
Academico Viseu vs Santa ClaraFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.90 · +3.6% CLV0-1LOST
Hanacka Slavia Kromeriz vs Vysocina JihlavaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-4LOST
Zob Ahan vs Foolad KhuzestanFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-0WON
Hednesford Town vs Scarborough AthleticFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—3-4LOST
Coleraine vs LarneFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.10 · +5.0% CLV0-0WON
Bangor vs CliftonvilleFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV0-3WON
Ranheim vs StromsgodsetFootball · Division 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.55 · −4.3% CLV1-3WON
Sollentuna vs JärfällaFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-1WON
Halifax Town vs Boreham WoodFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-3WON
Zaglebie Lubin vs Slask WroclawFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 39m before1XDouble Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-1WON
Hoek vs KoninklijkeFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 24m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV3-1WON

2426–2450 of 3918

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.