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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3919

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3920

3919 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−209.5u

over 3919u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72855.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148162.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

816

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3919

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198968.5%−85.0u
Match winner193160.5%−124.5u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3920 picks with a captured kickoff.

Keciorengucu Ankara vs Pendikspor

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Kayserispor vs Sivasspor

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Sporting Cristal vs Sport Huancayo

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-1

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Kafr Qasem

Football · Liga Leumit

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-18 · first seen 3h before

Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Kiryat Yam

Football · Liga Leumit

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-6

2026-08-18 · first seen 3h before

Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar Saba

Football · Liga Leumit

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-18 · first seen 3h before

Racing Montevideo vs Nacional Montevideo

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.15 · +1.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 36m before

Paykan vs Gol Gohar

Football · Premier League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-18 · first seen 2h before

Sekhukhune United vs Polokwane City

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Pardubice vs Mlada Boleslav

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Samorin vs Banik Lehota

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Falkenbergs vs Norrby

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Pribram vs Prostejov

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Wolfurt vs Reichenau

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

Esteghlal Tehran vs Mes Shahr Babak

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 1h before

Riga Mariners vs Tukums 2000 2

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.09 · −3.5% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 27m before

Toktogul vs Asiagoal Bishkek

Football · Premier league

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-18 · first seen 43m before

Basingstoke Town vs Evesham United

Football · Southern. Premier League. South

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Järfälla vs IF Karlstad

Football · Division 2. North

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.67 · +17.6% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Billericay Town vs Dover Athletic

Football · National League. South

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

SC/ESV Parndorf vs Donau

Football · Regional League. East

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV
Score
6-1

2026-08-07 · first seen 3h before

Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-17 · first seen 10m before

Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-18 · first seen 1h before

AB Argir vs KI Klaksvik

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Tijuana vs Cruz Azul

Football · Liga MX

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-17 · first seen 59m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Keciorengucu Ankara vs PendiksporFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—4-1WON
Kayserispor vs SivassporFootball · League 12026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—2-0WON
Sporting Cristal vs Sport HuancayoFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—4-1WON
Hapoel Kfar Shalem vs Kafr QasemFootball · Liga Leumit2026-08-18first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-0WON
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa vs Kiryat YamFootball · Liga Leumit2026-08-18first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—2-6WON
Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Hapoel Kfar SabaFootball · Liga Leumit2026-08-18first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—2-0WON
Racing Montevideo vs Nacional MontevideoFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 36m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.15 · +1.6% CLV2-0WON
Paykan vs Gol GoharFootball · Premier League2026-08-18first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—0-0WON
Sekhukhune United vs Polokwane CityFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV2-0WON
Pardubice vs Mlada BoleslavFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-1WON
Samorin vs Banik LehotaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.60 · +6.7% CLV0-2LOST
Falkenbergs vs NorrbyFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived—2-0WON
Pribram vs ProstejovFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV2-2LOST
Wolfurt vs ReichenauFootball · Regional League. West2026-08-14first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—2-1LOST
Esteghlal Tehran vs Mes Shahr BabakFootball · Premier League2026-08-14first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.25 · 0.0% CLV4-0WON
Riga Mariners vs Tukums 2000 2Football · League 12026-08-09first seen 27m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.09 · −3.5% CLV4-2WON
Toktogul vs Asiagoal BishkekFootball · Premier league2026-08-18first seen 43m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—3-2WON
Basingstoke Town vs Evesham UnitedFootball · Southern. Premier League. South2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—2-4WON
Järfälla vs IF KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.67 · +17.6% CLV1-4WON
Billericay Town vs Dover AthleticFootball · National League. South2026-08-08first seen 30m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-0WON
SC/ESV Parndorf vs DonauFootball · Regional League. East2026-08-07first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.27 · +1.6% CLV6-1WON
Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv SofiaFootball · League 12026-08-17first seen 10m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV3-1WON
Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing GuoanFootball · Superleague2026-08-18first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—0-3WON
AB Argir vs KI KlaksvikFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived—3-4WON
Tijuana vs Cruz AzulFootball · Liga MX2026-08-17first seen 59m before1XDouble Chance1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived—2-1WON

2376–2400 of 3920

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.