KR Reykjavik vs Breidablik
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV
- Score
- 3-3
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3928
3927 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.2u
over 3927u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 731 | 55.1%52%–59% | −0.8pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1483 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1499 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
824
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1991 | 68.6% | −84.2u |
| Match winner | 1937 | 60.4% | −126.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 731 | 67.2% | −21.2u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3928 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Bundesliga 3
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superliga
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 36m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 2. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · League 1. Season 26/27
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 30m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Basketball · NBL 1. West. Play-offs
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 10h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KR Reykjavik vs BreidablikFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Benatky nad Jizerou vs Hradec Kralove 2Football · League 3 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Jahn Regensburg vs SaarbruckenFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| KF Drita vs LlapiFootball · Superliga | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 5-3 | WON |
| Ullensaker/Kisa vs Trygg/LadeFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.85+18537/201.85+1.85-0.54from 3.10 · +8.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Godoy Cruz vs CD MaipuFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Mallorca vs ValladolidFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 36m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Bryne vs MossFootball · Division 1 | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Bedford Town vs DarlingtonFootball · National league. North | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Mansfield Town vs Doncaster RoversFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Crusaders vs Ballymena UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Peterhead vs East FifeFootball · League 1 | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Angelholms vs TrollhattanFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.77 · −5.9% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Celik Zenica vs Siroki BrijegFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Almere City vs Jong PSV EindhovenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| JaPS vs HakaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.63 · +7.2% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Voluntari vs Petrolul PloiestiFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
| San Marcos Arica vs Union San FelipeFootball · Serie B | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Vikingur Gota vs B-68 ToftirFootball · Premier League | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.27 · +6.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| KAMAZ vs Volga UlyanovskFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Salisbury vs Hampton and Richmond BoroughFootball · National League. South | first seen 30m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
| Stabaek vs LynFootball · Division 1 | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.37 · −6.8% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Torquay United vs HorshamFootball · National League. South | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.25 · −9.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Maidstone United vs FarnboroughFootball · National League. South | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.53 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Geraldton Buccaneers vs Willetton TigersBasketball · NBL 1. West. Play-offs | first seen 10h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20derived | — | 78-74 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.