Aluminium Arak vs Chador Malu
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3945
3944 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−213.0u
over 3944u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L3
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 733 | 55.1%51%–59% | −0.8pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1489 | 62.3%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
841
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2000 | 68.5% | −85.1u |
| Match winner | 1945 | 60.4% | −127.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3945 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3m before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · MLS
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Football · Liga Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 3
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 0m before
Football · Division 2. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Division Nationale
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · 1st Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Division 2. Group 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · National League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Division 2. Group 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Bundesliga 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aluminium Arak vs Chador MaluFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Golden State Valkyries (w) vs Dallas Wings (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 78-70 | WON |
| Jong Ajax vs EmmenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-6 | WON |
| Gagra vs SpaeriFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Seattle Sounders vs Vancouver WhitecapsFootball · MLS | first seen 29m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.88 · +1.6% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Olancho vs FC JuticalpaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.23 · +2.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Zemun vs Mladost LucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 8m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Asia Talas vs Bishkek CityFootball · Premier league | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Inhulets Petrove vs Nyva TernopilFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Stockholm Internazionale vs ArlandaFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| MAS Taborsko vs OpavaFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.00 · −2.4% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Lorenskog vs Eidsvold TurnFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | — | 1-7 | WON |
| Horni Redice vs Mlada Boleslav 2Football · League 3 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-6 | WON |
| Ljungskile vs Osters IFFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Maribor vs KoperFootball · Superleague | first seen 0m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.90 · +2.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Hammarby Talang vs FBK KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 27m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.30 · +10.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Victoria Rosport vs Mondor-Les-BainsFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 27m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Astana vs OkzhetpesFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.65 · +7.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Fredericia vs Vendsyssel FFFootball · 1st Division | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Brattvag vs LyseklosterFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.28 · +12.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Lillestrom vs RosenborgFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Kisvarda vs UjpestFootball · National League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.65 · +15.2% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Schwarz Weiss Bregenz vs KapfenbergFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Junkeren vs FolloFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.67 · +11.3% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Karlsruher vs Arminia BielefeldFootball · Bundesliga 2 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.