Marsaxlokk vs Hibernians
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 55m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3947
3946 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.0u
over 3946u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L3
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 734 | 55.0%51%–59% | −0.9pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
843
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1946 | 60.4% | −128.9u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 190 | 59.5% | +17.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 97 | 60.8% | −9.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3947 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 57m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 25m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Segunda Division
X2Double Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 55m before
Football · Division 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 12m before
Football · Serie C. Group A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Championship
X2Double Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · Challenge League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 10m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 25m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marsaxlokk vs HiberniansFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Milwaukee Brewers vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Alianza Atletico vs Sporting CristalFootball · Premier League | first seen 57m before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Fatih Karagumruk vs BursasporFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Erzurumspor BB vs GalatasarayFootball · Superleague | first seen 25m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.47 · −3.9% CLV | 0-4 | WON |
| Helmond Sport vs WaalwijkFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.83 · +7.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Den Bosch vs FC EindhovenFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Arsenal vs Coventry CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.20 · −1.6% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Cordoba vs GironaFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 55m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Giugliano vs ScafateseFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 55m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Wexford vs Athlone TownFootball · Division 1 | first seen 40m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Tondela vs Academica CoimbraFootball · Division 2 | first seen 12m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Grotta vs IR ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 12m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Union Brescia vs CarpiFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.30 · −3.7% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Linfield vs CliftonvilleFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Colwyn Bay vs Airbus UKFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.50 · −14.3% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Haverfordwest vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.75 · −8.9% CLV | 0-3 | LOST |
| Finn Harps vs Cobh RamblersFootball · Division 1 | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.05 · −1.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Inverness vs Partick ThistleFootball · Championship | first seen 25m before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Rapperswil-Jona vs WinterthurFootball · Challenge League | first seen 10m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Lechia Gdansk vs Pogon SiedlceFootball · League 1 | first seen 25m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Sarajevo vs BSK Banja LukaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.20 · −5.5% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Pau vs NancyFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Vitesse vs Almere CityFootball · Division 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Acassuso vs Godoy CruzFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.