Cittadella vs Pergolettese
Football · Serie C. Group A
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
- Feed close
- 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.63 · +8.7% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Serie C. Group A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National League. South
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Division 2. North
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
X2Double Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National League. South
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 50m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cittadella vs PergoletteseFootball · Serie C. Group A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.63 · +8.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Wigan Athletic vs Leyton OrientFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Chorley vs Scarborough AthleticFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Sandnes Ulf vs BryneFootball · Division 1 | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 1.95 · +3.7% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Peterborough United vs Mansfield TownFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Naftan Novopolotsk vs Neman GrodnoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Slovan Galanta vs PohronieFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| KF Ballkani vs VushtrriaFootball · Superliga | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.15 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Bytca vs ViOn Zlate MoravceFootball · League 2 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.40 · +2.2% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| NAC Breda vs Jong AjaxFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Swindon Town vs Cheltenham TownFootball · League 2 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 4.60+36018/53.60+3.60-0.28from 4.60 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Southampton vs Stoke CityFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Hampton and Richmond Borough vs Slough TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 5-3 | LOST |
| Worksop Town vs HerefordFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| AFC Wimbledon vs ReadingFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Bromley vs Cambridge UnitedFootball · League 1 | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Harborough Town vs DarlingtonFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Sollentuna vs IF KarlstadFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.77 · +4.1% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Zulte Waregem vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Wrexham vs WatfordFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Spennymoor Town vs Oxford CityFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Salisbury vs Hemel Hempstead TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Central Espanol vs Juventud Las PiedrasFootball · Premier League | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Southport vs Bedford TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Preston North End vs WolverhamptonFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.80 · −10.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
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