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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3951

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3952

3951 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−210.9u

over 3951u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73955.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149062.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

848

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3951

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner195160.5%−124.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.

Barracas Central vs Platense

Football · Premier League

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 4h before

Sarmiento vs Estudiantes La Plata

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 4h before

Miami Marlins vs Washington Nationals

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
6-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 4h before

Santa Clara vs Famalicao

Football · Premier League

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

IA Akranes vs Hafnarfjordur

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Stjarnan vs Thor Akureyri

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Francs Borains vs Hasselt

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 4h before

Castellon vs Sabadell

Football · Segunda Division

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.52 · −10.6% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Pisa vs Padova

Football · Serie B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.78 · +0.6% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Radnik Surdulica vs Novi Pazar

Football · Superleague

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Al Ahly Cairo vs ENPPI

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTM

Football · Superleague

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Spartak Moscow vs Zenit SPb

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

LKS Lodz vs Stal Mielec

Football · League 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Zilina vs Komarno

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.73 · +0.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Keflavik vs IB Vestmannaeyjar

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.97 · +2.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

OFI vs Volos

Football · Superleague 1

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas Telsiai

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.60 · +16.8% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Gzira United vs Valletta

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Venezia vs Lecce

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 3h before

Campobasso vs Pianese

Football · Serie C. Group B

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Trabzonspor vs Istanbul Basaksehir

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.13 · +12.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Parnu Vaprus vs Flora Tallinn

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Bnei Yehuda vs Hapoel Kfar Shalem

Football · Liga Leumit

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 2h before

Hohenems vs Rothis

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.22 · −3.9% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Barracas Central vs PlatenseFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—1-2LOST
Sarmiento vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 4h beforeX2Double Chance1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—2-0LOST
Miami Marlins vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB2026-08-23first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—6-2WON
Santa Clara vs FamalicaoFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—1-0LOST
IA Akranes vs HafnarfjordurFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV1-1LOST
Stjarnan vs Thor AkureyriFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV4-2WON
Francs Borains vs HasseltFootball · Division 22026-08-23first seen 4h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—0-1LOST
Castellon vs SabadellFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.52 · −10.6% CLV0-0LOST
Pisa vs PadovaFootball · Serie B2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.78 · +0.6% CLV0-1LOST
Radnik Surdulica vs Novi PazarFootball · Superleague2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived—1-0LOST
Al Ahly Cairo vs ENPPIFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV3-2WON
Sheriff Tiraspol vs Politehnica UTMFootball · Superleague2026-08-23first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—4-0WON
Spartak Moscow vs Zenit SPbFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-23first seen 3h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—2-0LOST
LKS Lodz vs Stal MielecFootball · League 12026-08-23first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—4-0WON
Zilina vs KomarnoFootball · Superleague2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.73 · +0.6% CLV2-1WON
Keflavik vs IB VestmannaeyjarFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.97 · +2.1% CLV1-0WON
OFI vs VolosFootball · Superleague 12026-08-23first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-0WON
Zalgiris Vilnius vs Dziugas TelsiaiFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.60 · +16.8% CLV2-0WON
Gzira United vs VallettaFootball · Premier League2026-08-23first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.67 · +1.2% CLV0-3WON
Venezia vs LecceFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-08-23first seen 3h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-2LOST
Campobasso vs PianeseFootball · Serie C. Group B2026-08-23first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV2-0WON
Trabzonspor vs Istanbul BasaksehirFootball · Superleague2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.13 · +12.1% CLV2-1WON
Parnu Vaprus vs Flora TallinnFootball · Superleague2026-08-23first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-2WON
Bnei Yehuda vs Hapoel Kfar ShalemFootball · Liga Leumit2026-08-23first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—3-1WON
Hohenems vs RothisFootball · Regional League. West2026-08-23first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.22 · −3.9% CLV1-2LOST

1801–1825 of 3952

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.