Afturelding vs Grotta
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.30 · +13.0% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 10m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3976
3975 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−215.6u
over 3975u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 744 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1498 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1514 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 205 | 71.2%65%–77% | −9.2pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
872
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.0u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2010 | 68.5% | −87.8u |
| Match winner | 1966 | 60.4% | −127.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 735 | 67.1% | −22.7u |
| Superleague | 338 | 61.5% | −39.0u |
| League 1 | 324 | 67.0% | −11.4u |
| MLBMLB league page | 193 | 60.1% | +19.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 103 | 66.0% | −4.2u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3976 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
Football · League Cup. Second round
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 9d 23h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 33m before
Football · Northern Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 47h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Superleague
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · National league. North
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Championship
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 50m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 27m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 6m before
Football · Serie C. Group C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Afturelding vs GrottaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.30 · +13.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Fleetwood Town vs Shrewsbury TownFootball · League Cup. Second round | first seen 9d 23h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Al Quwa Al Jawiya vs Gas Al ShimalFootball · Superleague | first seen 33m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Bamber Bridge vs United of ManchesterFootball · Northern Premier League | first seen 47h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Arsenal Sarandi vs ItuzaingoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.35 · +2.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Al-Ettifaq vs Al-Nassr RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Sportivo Italiano vs Defensores UnidosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| San Martin Burzaco vs Argentino QuilmesFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Real Pilar vs Brown AdrogueFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Al Zawraa vs Naft MaysanFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.68 · +5.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo LaferrereFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Al Fahaheel vs Al Qadsia KuwaitFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Villa Dalmine vs Talleres RemediosFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Kruger United vs Durban CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Orlando Pirates vs Sekhukhune UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Marumo Gallants vs TS GalaxyFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Zakho vs DiyalaFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Dinamo Samarqand vs PakhtakorFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Buxton vs Hebburn TownFootball · National league. North | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Queen's Park vs StenhousemuirFootball · Championship | first seen 50m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Nautico Capibaribe vs Ceara FortalezaFootball · Serie B | first seen 27m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Neom vs Al-Qadsiah El-KhobarFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Brusque vs AmazonasFootball · Serie C | first seen 6m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Picerno vs Savoia 1908Football · Serie C. Group C | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Shams Azar vs Aluminium ArakFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.