Helmond Sport vs VVV-Venlo
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.45 · +19.5% CLV
- Score
- 4-2
· first seen 1m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3917
3916 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.2u
over 3916u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
813
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3917 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Division 1
1XDouble Chance
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HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Helmond Sport vs VVV-VenloFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.45 · +19.5% CLV | 4-2 | LOST |
| Defensores Belgrano vs Racing CordobaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 31m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Las Palmas vs LeganesFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 31m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Livingston vs StenhousemuirFootball · Championship | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Stuttgart vs KölnFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 4:1 | WON |
| Piast Gliwice vs GKS KatowiceFootball · Superleague | first seen 31m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.65 · −5.4% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Arda Kardzhali vs Botev PlovdivFootball · League 1 | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.10 · +2.4% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Nafta Lendava vs NK RadomljeFootball · Superleague | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.15 · +4.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Etoile-Carouge vs Wil 1900Football · Challenge League | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.68 · +0.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Czech Rep (w) vs Italy (w)Basketball · Women. Germany. Group stage | first seen 16m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11derived | — | 54-63 | WON |
| Winterthur vs Neuchatel XamaxFootball · Challenge League | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.95 · +2.6% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Independiente Juniors vs Cuenca EcuadorFootball · Division 2. Championship Group | first seen 16m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Petrovac vs Sutjeska NiksicFootball · League 1 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.55 · −7.3% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Dender vs SeraingFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Naft Maysan vs NewrozFootball · Superleague | first seen 1m before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 11m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 7-6 | WON |
| Vitesse vs OssFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.55 · +2.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Varazdin vs Istra 1961Football · Premier League | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.80 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-RiyadhFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 8.50 · +608.3% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Montpellier Handball vs Chartres Metropole HandballHandball · Star League | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived | 1.08-12502/250.08-12.50+0.08from 1.06 · −1.9% CLV | 41-22 | WON |
| Beerschot Wilrijk vs Patro Eisden MaasmechelenFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Waalwijk vs NAC BredaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Almere City vs Jong AjaxFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.40 · −6.7% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Cajamarca vs CiencianoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 2-5 | LOST |
| Pau vs SochauxFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 1m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1:1 | WON |
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