Inter Escaldes vs Flora Tallinn
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
1XDouble Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3957
3956 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−211.8u
over 3956u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 740 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1492 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1507 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 203 | 70.9%64%–77% | −9.4pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
853
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.8u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2003 | 68.5% | −85.2u |
| Match winner | 1954 | 60.4% | −126.6u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 334 | 61.1% | −40.8u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3957 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4m before
Football · Third qualifying round. First leg
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4m before
Football · Premier league
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Basketball · NBL 1. West. Play-offs
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 30m before
Football · USL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Women. NWSL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · USL
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Inter Escaldes vs Flora TallinnFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Hradec Kralove vs BesiktasFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Zalgiris Vilnius vs Hajduk SplitFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 2-5 | WON |
| Dynamo Kiev vs QarabagFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| CFR Cluj vs TromsoFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-5 | WON |
| Paide Linnameeskond vs Rapid ViennaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| HJK Helsinki vs MotherwellFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Jagiellonia Bialystok vs RangersFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv vs CSKA SofiaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-3 | LOST |
| Noah vs SionFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| KuPS Kuopio vs Universitatea CraiovaFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 4m before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Pakhtakor vs BuxoroFootball · Superleague | first seen 4m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 2-2 | LOST |
| Inter Turku vs VaduzFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 4m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Muras United vs Asia TalasFootball · Premier league | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 1-1 | LOST |
| Shakhtar Karaganda vs Kaspiy Aktau 2Football · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Academy Ontustik vs Khan TengryFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Elimai 2 vs Kairat 2Football · League 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Rockingham Flames vs Perry Lakes HawksBasketball · NBL 1. West. Play-offs | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 88-75 | WON |
| Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland RootsFootball · USL | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 0-0 | LOST |
| Denver Summit (w) vs North Carolina Courage (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Chicago Sky (w) vs Los Angeles Sparks (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 95-88 | WON |
| El Paso Locomotive vs Monterey BayFootball · USL | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Tulsa vs Sacramento RepublicFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Tigre vs BelgranoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Bolivar vs Oriente PetroleroFootball · Primera division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.