Canberra Olympic vs Cooma Tigers
Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 2-5
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Tasmania. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Tasmania. National Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · South Australia. Reserve Premier league
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 8m before
Football · Premier Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Liga Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Serie B
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Women. NWSL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 39m before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 39m before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 46m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 31m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 31m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 31m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 31m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canberra Olympic vs Cooma TigersFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 2-5 | WON |
| Glenorchy Knights vs Launceston UnitedFootball · Tasmania. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.18 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| South Hobart vs Riverside OlympicFootball · Tasmania. National Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.14 · 0.0% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Croydon Kings (r) vs Sturt Lions (r)Football · South Australia. Reserve Premier league | first seen 8m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cartagines vs Sporting San JoseFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Malacateco vs XelajuFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Dallas Wings (w) vs Golden State Valkyries (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 76-94 | LOST |
| Universitario Lima vs Sporting CristalFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Isidro Metapan vs Aguila San MiguelFootball · Premier League | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Independiente Rivadavia vs Estudiantes Rio CuartoFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Deportes Quindio vs Internacional PalmiraFootball · Serie B | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Deportes Santa Cruz vs Puerto MonttFootball · Serie B | first seen 17m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Universidad Catolica vs CobresalFootball · Serie A | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Gotham (w) vs San Diego Wave (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.00 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Comerciantes Unidos vs CuscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 39m before | X2Double Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| Union Comercio vs Academia CantolaoFootball · Division 2 | first seen 39m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.28 · +8.5% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Independiente Campo Grande vs ResistenciaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Leiknir Reykjavik vs Fylkir ReykjavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.48 · +9.6% CLV | 3-0 | LOST |
| Estoril vs FamalicaoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Afturelding vs GrindavikFootball · Division 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.30 · +4.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Shamrock Rovers vs FC DundalkFootball · Premier League | first seen 46m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.65 · −13.2% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Cambrian United vs Briton FerryFootball · Premier League | first seen 31m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Ammanford vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League | first seen 31m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.33 · +10.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Cliftonville vs CrusadersFootball · Premier League | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Derry City vs Sligo RoversFootball · Premier League | first seen 31m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.40 · +5.3% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
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