Almirante Brown vs Ciudad Bolivar
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
- Feed close
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3952
3951 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.9u
over 3951u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 739 | 55.3%52%–59% | −0.6pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1490 | 62.3%60%–65% | −4.0pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1506 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 202 | 70.8%64%–77% | −9.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
848
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2001 | 68.5% | −86.1u |
| Match winner | 1951 | 60.5% | −124.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 732 | 67.2% | −21.0u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 192 | 59.9% | +19.1u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 74 | 64.9% | −5.2u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Division 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera Nacional
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Torneo Federal A. Losers stage
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Primera B Metropolitana
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Bundesliga
X2Double Chance
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Liga Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · National League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Basketball · CEBL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almirante Brown vs Ciudad BolivarFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Mlada Boleslav vs Sparta PragueFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.78 · −8.7% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Sport Huancayo (r) vs Santos IcaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Talleres Remedios vs Argentino MerloFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.65 · +5.1% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Borac Cacak vs VozdovacFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Liverpool Montevideo vs Albion MontevideoFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Radnichki Kragujevac vs ZemunFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.33 · −2.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Argentino Quilmes vs Real PilarFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Estudiantes Caseros vs Deportivo MadrynFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo RinconFootball · Torneo Federal A. Losers stage | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-4 | WON |
| Dubocica vs LoznicaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Agropecuario vs Atletico GuemesFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Defensores Unidos vs Deportivo LiniersFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Atletico Tucuman vs SarmientoFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Deportivo Riestra vs Estudiantes La PlataFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| CSKA Moscow vs RostovFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 4.40+34017/53.40+3.40-0.29from 5.30 · +20.5% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Hartberg vs SturmFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Atletico Ottawa vs Halifax WanderersFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Real Sireti vs BaltiFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 2.60 · +46.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Deportivo Mixco vs MarquenseFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.42 · −6.6% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Vitoria Guimaraes vs AroucaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.85 · −2.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Dinamo Batumi vs GagraFootball · National League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
| Tondela vs AmaranteFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Brampton Honet Badgers vs Niagara River LionsBasketball · CEBL | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 91-81 | WON |
| LDU Portoviejo vs CumbayaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.