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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3944

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3945

3944 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−213.0u

over 3944u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L3

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73355.1%51%–59%51%–59%−0.8pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148962.3%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

841

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3944

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200068.5%−85.1u
Match winner194560.4%−127.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3945 picks with a captured kickoff.

Debreceni VSC vs Nyiregyhaza

Football · National League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Soroksar vs Diosgyori

Football · League 2

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Ried vs Rapid Vienna

Football · Bundesliga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.30 · +6.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Arlanda vs Pitea

Football · Division 2. North

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Sandnes Ulf vs Hodd

Football · Division 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Dynamo Ceske Budejovice vs Admira Prague

Football · League 3

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Rangers vs Hibernian

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Stromsgodset vs Egersunds

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Atyrau vs Aktobe

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Shirak Gyumri vs Noah

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.27 · +6.7% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Zilina vs Skalica

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Hradec Kralove vs Banik Ostrava

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.25 · +3.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

FC Riga vs Ogre United

Football · Virsliga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.04 · −1.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Jablonec vs Slovacko

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Veres Rivne vs Dynamo Kiev

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

SK Zapy vs Neratovice-Byskovice

Football · League 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.45 · +11.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Hamarkameratene vs Aalesund

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.05 · +1.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Sokol Brozany vs FC Caslav

Football · League 3

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Heerenveen vs Twente

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.20 · +8.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

AVS vs Sporting 2 Lisbon

Football · Division 2

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 57m before

Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss Essen

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 57m before

Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932

Football · Division 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 57m before

Halmstads vs GAIS

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 57m before

Sion vs Vaduz

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.45 · −5.2% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 57m before

Basel vs Thun

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.75 · −16.7% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-08-09 · first seen 57m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Debreceni VSC vs NyiregyhazaFootball · National League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV1-0WON
Soroksar vs DiosgyoriFootball · League 22026-08-09first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—4-0LOST
Ried vs Rapid ViennaFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.30 · +6.0% CLV1-2WON
Arlanda vs PiteaFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.38 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
Sandnes Ulf vs HoddFootball · Division 12026-08-09first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived—3-4WON
Dynamo Ceske Budejovice vs Admira PragueFootball · League 32026-08-09first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived—5-0WON
Rangers vs HibernianFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.53 · +9.3% CLV1-2LOST
Stromsgodset vs EgersundsFootball · Division 12026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.38 · −1.4% CLV0-2LOST
Atyrau vs AktobeFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-1WON
Shirak Gyumri vs NoahFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.27 · +6.7% CLV3-4WON
Zilina vs SkalicaFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV1-3LOST
Hradec Kralove vs Banik OstravaFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.18+11859/501.18+1.18-0.85from 2.25 · +3.2% CLV2-1WON
FC Riga vs Ogre UnitedFootball · Virsliga2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.04 · −1.0% CLV4-1WON
Jablonec vs SlovackoFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV1-0WON
Veres Rivne vs Dynamo KievFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.25 · −3.8% CLV1-2WON
SK Zapy vs Neratovice-ByskoviceFootball · League 32026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.45 · +11.5% CLV3-1WON
Hamarkameratene vs AalesundFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.05 · +1.0% CLV1-1LOST
Sokol Brozany vs FC CaslavFootball · League 32026-08-09first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—0-0WON
Heerenveen vs TwenteFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 2.20 · +8.4% CLV1-0LOST
AVS vs Sporting 2 LisbonFootball · Division 22026-08-09first seen 57m before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—0-1LOST
Saarbrucken vs Rot-Weiss EssenFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-09first seen 57m beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—5-2LOST
Feirense vs Felgueiras 1932Football · Division 22026-08-09first seen 57m beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—0-0WON
Halmstads vs GAISFootball · Premier League2026-08-09first seen 57m beforeX2Double Chance1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived—0-2WON
Sion vs VaduzFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.45 · −5.2% CLV3-2WON
Basel vs ThunFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 57m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.75 · −16.7% CLV4-2WON

3376–3400 of 3945

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.