Parma vs Sampdoria
Football · Clubs
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 0-2
· first seen 15h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3930
3929 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−212.2u
over 3929u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L3
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 732 | 55.1%51%–59% | −0.9pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1484 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1499 | 70.6%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
826
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1992 | 68.5% | −85.2u |
| Match winner | 1938 | 60.4% | −127.0u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 731 | 67.2% | −21.2u |
| Superleague | 331 | 60.7% | −41.9u |
| League 1 | 321 | 67.3% | −10.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3930 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parma vs SampdoriaFootball · Clubs | first seen 15h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| CA Colegiales vs Patronato ParanaFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.95 · +1.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vikingur Reykjavik vs IB VestmannaeyjarFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Deportivo Laferrere vs Arsenal SarandiFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Dock Sud vs San Martin BurzacoFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 4-1 | WON |
| Macva Sabac vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Los Andes vs Ferro Carril OesteFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.55 · −1.9% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Rubin vs OrenburgFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Alemannia Aachen vs VerlFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Kristiansund vs MoldeFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.65 · +1.9% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Austria Vienna vs LASKFootball · Bundesliga | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | WON |
| Jeunesse Esch vs Atert BissenFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.47 · +1.4% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Atlanta vs TemperleyFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Spartak Moscow vs KrasnodarFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Sheriff Tiraspol vs Dacia BuiucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.25 · +6.8% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Zimbru vs PetrocubFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.92 · −8.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Porto vs AlvercaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.17 · −1.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| New York Liberty (w) vs Las Vegas Aces (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 111-71 | LOST |
| Slaven Belupo vs VarazdinFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 1-4 | WON |
| Anderlecht vs La LouviereFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Deportes Copiapo vs San Luis QuillotaFootball · Serie B | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Borac Banja Luka vs Velez MostarFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Deportes Concepcion vs Universidad ConcepcionFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.83 · −3.7% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Horsens vs BrondbyFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.72 · +9.6% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Ayacucho vs Estudiantil CNIFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2h before | X2Double Chance | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
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