Rigas FS vs Grobinas
Football · Virsliga
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.11 · −0.9% CLV
- Score
- 6-1
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3921
3920 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−210.5u
over 3920u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1481 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1497 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
817
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 92 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1989 | 68.5% | −85.0u |
| Match winner | 1932 | 60.4% | −125.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 330 | 60.6% | −42.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 102 | 65.7% | −4.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3921 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Virsliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 58m before
Football · League 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 58m before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Liga Panamena
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie C
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · USL
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Serie B
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Liga Nacional
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier Division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Women. Series A1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rigas FS vs GrobinasFootball · Virsliga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.11 · −0.9% CLV | 6-1 | WON |
| Flora 2 Tallinn vs Nomme Kalju 2Football · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.48 · +11.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Transinvest vs PanevezysFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Karpaty Lviv vs LNZ LebedinFootball · Premier League | first seen 58m before | X2Double Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 3-0 | LOST |
| Povazska Bystrica vs ViOn Zlate MoravceFootball · League 2 | first seen 58m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| America de Cali vs Atletico NacionalFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Sporting San Miguelito vs Alianza PanamaFootball · Liga Panamena | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Nacional Montevideo vs Boston RiverFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.50 · +5.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Santos SP vs Atletico ParanaenseFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36from 3.60 · −4.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Atletico Maranhao vs BrusqueFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Union La Calera vs Colo ColoFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.70 · +1.8% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Bragantino vs Corinthians SPFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Itabaiana vs CaxiasFootball · Serie C | first seen 2h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 0-2 | LOST |
| Alianza FC Valledupar vs Atletico BucaramangaFootball · Serie A | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-3 | WON |
| Indy Eleven vs Hartford AthleticFootball · USL | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Cuiaba vs FortalezaFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| FC Juticalpa vs Olimpia TegucigalpaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Inter San Carlos vs AD San CarlosFootball · Premier Division | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Delfin vs OrenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Sao Paulo (w) vs Red Bull Bragantino (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| San Martin Tucuman vs San Martin San JuanFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Defensa y Justicia vs Newell's Old BoysFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Gimnasia La Plata vs Barracas CentralFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Melgar vs CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.25 · +5.0% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Comerciantes vs Bentín Tacna HeroicaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 1h before | X2Double Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 2-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.