Ruch Chorzow vs Lechia Gdansk
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
- Feed close
- 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 47m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3917
3916 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−209.2u
over 3916u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 728 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
813
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1931 | 60.5% | −124.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3917 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Championship
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · National League. South
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 47m before
Football · Primera division
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 47m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Ligue 2
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Ligue 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Ligue 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Ligue 2
X2Double Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 32m before
Football · Ligue 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · League 1
1XDouble Chance
· first seen 17m before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · League 1
X2Double Chance
· first seen 15h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 22h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ruch Chorzow vs Lechia GdanskFootball · League 1 | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Wolverhampton vs Blackburn RoversFootball · Championship | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Dagenham and Redbridge vs Farnham TownFootball · National League. South | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.57 · −10.3% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Universitario Vinto vs Real TomayapoFootball · Primera division | first seen 47m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| Connahs Quay vs TrefelinFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.27 · −5.9% CLV | 6-0 | WON |
| Red Star vs SochauxFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.83 · −4.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Annecy vs RodezFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Cercle Brugge vs Sint-TruidenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-3 | WON |
| Laval vs NantesFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Cambrian United vs Flint Town UnitedFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Grenoble vs MetzFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 1.98 · −15.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Nancy vs MontpellierFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Llandudno Town vs Holywell TownFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.35 · +9.8% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Airbus UK vs AmmanfordFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Reims vs DunkerqueFootball · Ligue 2 | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.73 · +0.6% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Balzan vs MarsaxlokkFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | X2Double Chance | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Newroz vs Al Quwa Al JawiyaFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 4.00+3003/13.00+3.00-0.33from 4.00 · 0.0% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Arges Pitesti vs Farul ConstantaFootball · League 1 | first seen 17m before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 1-1 | WON |
| Galatasaray vs Corum BelediyesporFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.18 · −10.6% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| St Polten vs Blau Weiss LinzFootball · League 1 | first seen 15h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Legia Warsaw vs Radomiak RadomFootball · Superleague | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.55 · +5.4% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Cherno More VarnaFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.68 · −5.1% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| NAC Breda vs VVV-VenloFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.42 · +7.6% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Waalwijk vs DordrechtFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.72 · −1.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| KI Klaksvik vs Lech PoznanFootball · Third qualifying rounds. Second Leg | first seen 22h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.