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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Rostov vs Rubin

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Nyiregyhaza vs Kisvarda

Football · National League

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Mezokovesd Zsory vs BVSC Zuglo

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Kazincbarcika vs Kozarmisleny SE

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Sturm 2 Graz vs Admira Wacker Modling

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Kecskemeti vs Fehervar

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Szeged 2011 vs Gyirmot

Football · League 2

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Diosgyori vs Ajka

Football · League 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

FC Andorra vs Ceuta

Football · Segunda Division

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Rustavi

Football · National League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.12 · +1.9% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

PK-35 Helsinki vs Klubi 04

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.60 · −4.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Ordabasy vs Altay Oskemen

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.22 · +5.2% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Slovacko vs Sigma Olomouc

Football · Superleague

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.65 · −6.8% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC

Football · Bundesliga

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.00 · +1.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Sandvikens vs Norrkoping

Football · League 1

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Sporting 2 Lisbon vs Chaves

Football · Division 2

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

FC Volendam vs Oss

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.33 · −7.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Verl vs MSV Duisburg

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Frydek-Mistek vs Vsetin

Football · League 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Drenica vs KF Dukagjini

Football · Superliga

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Al Dhafra vs Al Sharjah

Football · Premier League

Won

X2Double Chance

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Braintree Town vs Chesham United

Football · National League. South

Won

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Kristianstad FC vs Tvaakers

Football · Division 2. South

Lost

1XDouble Chance

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Rostov vs RubinFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-1WON
Nyiregyhaza vs KisvardaFootball · National League2026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—2-1WON
Mezokovesd Zsory vs BVSC ZugloFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived—1-0WON
Kazincbarcika vs Kozarmisleny SEFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV2-1WON
Sturm 2 Graz vs Admira Wacker ModlingFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—0-2WON
Kecskemeti vs FehervarFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived—2-1WON
Szeged 2011 vs GyirmotFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h beforeX2Double Chance1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived—0-1WON
Diosgyori vs AjkaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h before1XDouble Chance1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—1-1WON
FC Andorra vs CeutaFootball · Segunda Division2026-08-15first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—5-1WON
Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC RustaviFootball · National League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.12 · +1.9% CLV0-3LOST
PK-35 Helsinki vs Klubi 04Football · League 12026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.60 · −4.8% CLV1-1LOST
Ordabasy vs Altay OskemenFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.22 · +5.2% CLV3-1WON
Slovacko vs Sigma OlomoucFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV1-2WON
Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna ChernivtsiFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.65 · −6.8% CLV3-0WON
Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger ACFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.00 · +1.0% CLV2-1LOST
Sandvikens vs NorrkopingFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-4WON
Sporting 2 Lisbon vs ChavesFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 1h before1XDouble Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—1-0WON
FC Volendam vs OssFootball · Division 12026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.33 · −7.0% CLV3-0WON
Verl vs MSV DuisburgFootball · Bundesliga 32026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived—2-4WON
Frydek-Mistek vs VsetinFootball · League 32026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV2-1WON
Willem II vs NEC NijmegenFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV1-4WON
Drenica vs KF DukagjiniFootball · Superliga2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived—0-0WON
Al Dhafra vs Al SharjahFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeX2Double Chance1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived—1-3WON
Braintree Town vs Chesham UnitedFootball · National League. South2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—3-2WON
Kristianstad FC vs TvaakersFootball · Division 2. South2026-08-15first seen 55m before1XDouble Chance1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived—1-2LOST

2851–2875 of 3913

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.