Sarmiento vs Huracan
Football · Premier League
X2Double Chance
- Tipster odds
- 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
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Football · Premier League
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Baseball · MLB
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Baseball · MLB
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Baseball · MLB
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Baseball · MLB
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Baseball · MLB
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Baseball · MLB
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Baseball · MLB
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Football · League 1
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Football · Bundesliga 3
1XDouble Chance
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Division 2
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
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Football · Superleague
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Football · Segunda Division
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Superleague
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Football · National League
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Football · Premier League
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Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
X2Double Chance
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarmiento vs HuracanFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | LOST |
| UAI Urquiza vs Deportivo ArmenioFootball · Primera B Metropolitana | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Hafnarfjordur vs Vikingur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Cincinnati Reds vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 1-7 | WON |
| Detroit Tigers vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 5-7 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 0-5 | WON |
| New York Mets vs Washington NationalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 3-4 | LOST |
| Atlanta Braves vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 5-3 | LOST |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 8-3 | LOST |
| Unia Skierniewice vs Miedz LegnicaFootball · League 1 | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | — | 0-3 | WON |
| Stuttgart 2 vs Viktoria KolnFootball · Bundesliga 3 | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 1-3 | LOST |
| Lommel United vs CharleroiFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | X2Double Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 0-0 | WON |
| Fredrikstad vs KristiansundFootball · Superleague | first seen 4h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-0 | WON |
| Porto 2 vs FarenseFootball · Division 2 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| IMT Novi Beograd vs Radnicki NisFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.20 · 0.0% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Espanyol vs LevanteFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Zimbru vs MilsamiFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.43 · −13.3% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Girona vs LeganesFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Dynamo Brest vs Isloch MinskFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | — | 1-2 | LOST |
| Real Sireti vs Sheriff TiraspolFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.15-6673/200.15-6.67+0.15from 1.16 · +0.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Arouca vs MoreirenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Samgurali Tskaltubo vs Dinamo BatumiFootball · National League | first seen 3h before | 1XDouble Chance | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | — | 0-4 | LOST |
| Baniyas vs Al Ain Abu DhabiFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 2-4 | WON |
| Baltika vs Spartak MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 3h before | X2Double Chance | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 1-2 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.