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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Brattvag vs Kvik Halden

Football · Division 2. Group 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak Radom

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 47m before

Hansa Rostock vs Wehen Wiesbaden

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.62 · +1.2% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2m before

Fredericia vs Esbjerg

Football · 1st Division

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 2m before

Bocholt vs Sportfreunde Siegen

Football · Regional League. West

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.45 · +15.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-05 · first seen 2m before

Waldhof Mannheim vs Verl

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.10 · +10.5% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2m before

Skeid vs Kjelsas

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2m before

Middelfart vs Fremad Amager

Football · 2 division

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2m before

Lincoln City vs Southampton

Football · Championship

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-09-05 · first seen 44m before

Peterborough United vs Sheffield Wednesday

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.02 · −14.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 44m before

Wolfsburg vs Energie Cottbus

Football · Bundesliga 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.30 · −5.1% CLV
Score
4-4

2026-09-05 · first seen 14m before

Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby Talang

Football · Division 2. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.00 · −1.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 14m before

Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito HollyHock

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
3.85+28557/202.85+2.85-0.35from 3.65 · −5.2% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-09-05 · first seen 4h before

Jeonbuk Motors vs Pohang Steelers

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.80 · −5.3% CLV
Score
2:0

2026-09-05 · first seen 4h before

Adelaide City vs Playford City Patriots

Football · South Australia. National Premier League. Semi-finals. Second leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.57 · −4.8% CLV
Score
6-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 3h before

West Torrens Birkalla vs North Eastern MetroStars

Football · South Australia. National Premier League. Semi-finals. Second leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 3h before

Monaro Panthers vs Cooma Tigers

Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League. Semi-finals

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.12 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 3h before

LG Twins vs Samsung Lions

Baseball · KBO

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
8:5

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Kiwoom Heroes vs NC Dinos

Baseball · KBO

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
—
Score
1:6

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Canberra Croatia vs Queanbeyan City

Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League. Semi-finals

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.42 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 2m before

Avondale vs Preston Lions

Football · Victoria. National Premier League. Quarter-finals

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 4h before

Juarez vs Pachuca

Football · Liga MX

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 3h before

Seattle Mariners vs Athletics

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
—
Score
2:9

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Pericos de Puebla vs Olmecas de Tabasco

Baseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 7

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-10

2026-09-05 · first seen 4h before

Deportes Concepcion vs Audax Italiano

Football · Serie A

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 32m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Brattvag vs Kvik HaldenFootball · Division 2. Group 12026-09-05first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Widzew Lodz vs Radomiak RadomFootball · Superleague2026-09-05first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.75 · +9.4% CLV0-0LOST
Hansa Rostock vs Wehen WiesbadenFootball · Bundesliga 32026-09-05first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.62 · +1.2% CLV1-1LOST
Fredericia vs EsbjergFootball · 1st Division2026-09-05first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV1-0WON
Bocholt vs Sportfreunde SiegenFootball · Regional League. West2026-09-05first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.45 · +15.0% CLV1-3LOST
Waldhof Mannheim vs VerlFootball · Bundesliga 32026-09-05first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.10 · +10.5% CLV0-1LOST
Skeid vs KjelsasFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-09-05first seen 2m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV4-1LOST
Middelfart vs Fremad AmagerFootball · 2 division2026-09-05first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Lincoln City vs SouthamptonFootball · Championship2026-09-05first seen 44m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV1:1LOST
Peterborough United vs Sheffield WednesdayFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 44m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.02 · −14.0% CLV1-2WON
Wolfsburg vs Energie CottbusFootball · Bundesliga 22026-09-05first seen 14m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.30 · −5.1% CLV4-4LOST
Stockholm Internazionale vs Hammarby TalangFootball · Division 2. North2026-09-05first seen 14m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.00 · −1.0% CLV3-0WON
Avispa Fukuoka vs Mito HollyHockFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived3.85+28557/202.85+2.85-0.35from 3.65 · −5.2% CLV1:1LOST
Jeonbuk Motors vs Pohang SteelersFootball · Superleague2026-09-05first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.80 · −5.3% CLV2:0WON
Adelaide City vs Playford City PatriotsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League. Semi-finals. Second leg2026-09-05first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.57 · −4.8% CLV6-0WON
West Torrens Birkalla vs North Eastern MetroStarsFootball · South Australia. National Premier League. Semi-finals. Second leg2026-09-05first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.30 · −6.1% CLV2-0WON
Monaro Panthers vs Cooma TigersFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League. Semi-finals2026-09-05first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 2.12 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
LG Twins vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—8:5LOST
Kiwoom Heroes vs NC DinosBaseball · KBO2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived—1:6WON
Canberra Croatia vs Queanbeyan CityFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League. Semi-finals2026-09-05first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.42 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Avondale vs Preston LionsFootball · Victoria. National Premier League. Quarter-finals2026-09-05first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.40 · 0.0% CLV2-0WON
Juarez vs PachucaFootball · Liga MX2026-09-05first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV0-2WON
Seattle Mariners vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived—2:9LOST
Pericos de Puebla vs Olmecas de TabascoBaseball · LMB. Semi-finals. Best of 72026-09-05first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—8-10LOST
Deportes Concepcion vs Audax ItalianoFootball · Serie A2026-09-05first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.90 · −5.0% CLV0-1LOST

201–225 of 1927· 1165 won / 761 lost · −124.1u · −6.4% yield · of 3913 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.