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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4034

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4035

4034 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−216.6u

over 4034u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%76455.4%52%–59%52%–59%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%151662.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%153370.3%68%–72%68%–72%−4.7pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20771.5%65%–77%65%–77%−8.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

931

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4034

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance203168.6%−84.3u
Match winner200460.3%−132.2u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73967.3%−21.1u
Superleague34361.5%−39.8u
League 132567.1%−11.1u
MLB↗MLB league page20759.4%+18.8u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10162.4%−7.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4035 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Strassen vs Victoria Rosport

Football · Division Nationale

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-0

2026-08-04 · first seen 3h before

Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno Zalgiris

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-0

2026-08-04 · first seen 3h before

Levski Sofia vs Kairat Almaty

Football · Third qualifying round. First leg

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-04 · first seen 2h before

PFC Levski Sofia vs FC Kairat

Football · Qualifying

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-0

2026-08-04 · first seen 6h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Strassen vs Victoria RosportFootball · Division Nationale2026-08-04first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—4-0WON
Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno ZalgirisFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-04first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived—5-0WON
Levski Sofia vs Kairat AlmatyFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg2026-08-04first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—1-0WON
PFC Levski Sofia vs FC KairatFootball · Qualifying2026-08-04first seen 6h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—1-0WON

2001–2004 of 2004· 1207 won / 796 lost · −132.2u · −6.6% yield · of 4035 total

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