Muras United vs Asia Talas
Football · Premier league
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 47m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4032
4031 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.6u
over 4031u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 764 | 55.4%52%–59% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1514 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1532 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
928
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2030 | 68.6% | −84.9u |
| Match winner | 2002 | 60.3% | −131.7u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 343 | 61.5% | −39.8u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4032 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Muras United vs Asia TalasFootball · Premier league | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 1-1 | LOST |
| Shakhtar Karaganda vs Kaspiy Aktau 2Football · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Academy Ontustik vs Khan TengryFootball · League 1 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Elimai 2 vs Kairat 2Football · League 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Rockingham Flames vs Perry Lakes HawksBasketball · NBL 1. West. Play-offs | first seen 30m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | — | 88-75 | WON |
| Las Vegas Lights vs Oakland RootsFootball · USL | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 0-0 | LOST |
| Chicago Sky (w) vs Los Angeles Sparks (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 95-88 | WON |
| Bolivar vs Oriente PetroleroFootball · Primera division | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Washington Mystics (w) vs Dallas Wings (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 47m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 96-92 | WON |
| New York Liberty (w) vs Seattle Storm (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 92-86 | WON |
| Atlanta Dream (w) vs Phoenix Mercury (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 96-82 | WON |
| New York Liberty (W) vs Seattle Storm (W)Basketball · WNBA (W) | first seen 36h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | — | 92-86 | WON |
| Hafnarfjordur vs KR ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | — | 1-1 | LOST |
| Keflavik vs KA AkureyriFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3-0 | WON |
| Fenerbahce vs SturmFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Brann vs Apollon LimassolFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 0-1 | LOST |
| AGF Aarhus vs Sabah BakuFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Carabobo FC vs Trujillanos FCFootball · Primera Division | first seen 10h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Carabobo vs TrujillanosFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | — | 2-0 | WON |
| Thor Akureyri vs Breidablik KopavogurFootball · Urvalsdeild | first seen 7h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| Olympiacos Piraeus vs NEC NijmegenFootball · Qualifying | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 0-0 | LOST |
| GNK Dinamo Zagreb vs FK Kauno ZalgirisFootball · Qualifying | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
| FC UNA Strassen vs Victoria RosportFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 7h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Strassen vs Victoria RosportFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 4-0 | WON |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs Kauno ZalgirisFootball · Third qualifying round. First leg | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 5-0 | WON |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.