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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4026

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4027

4026 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−214.2u

over 4026u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%76355.4%52%–59%52%–59%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%151362.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%152970.3%68%–73%68%–73%−4.7pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20771.5%65%–77%65%–77%−8.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

923

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4026

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance202868.6%−85.5u
Match winner199960.4%−128.7u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73967.3%−21.1u
Superleague34161.3%−40.4u
League 132567.1%−11.1u
MLB↗MLB league page20759.4%+18.8u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10162.4%−7.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4027 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

FC Smiltene-BJSS vs Valmiera

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.14 · −2.6% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Slovan Galanta vs Petrzalka

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 Helsinki

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Utsiktens vs Hassleholms IF

Football · Division 2. South

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.58 · −12.2% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Bytca vs Inter Bratislava

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron Tolyatti

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

NEC Nijmegen vs Telstar

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 1h before

Glentoran vs Limavady United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Central Espanol vs Atletico Progreso

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Dunfermline vs Ayr United

Football · Championship

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.02 · +6.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Morecambe vs Spennymoor Town

Football · National league. North

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.62 · −11.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Skovde AIK vs Lunds BK

Football · Division 2. South

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Spartans Edinburgh vs Edinburgh City

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Braintree Town vs Tonbridge Angels

Football · National League. South

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 1.90 · −24.0% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Viking vs Sarpsborg 08

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Boreham Wood vs Tamworth

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.37 · −6.8% CLV
Score
3-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Njardvik vs IF Vestri

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.47 · +6.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Dungannon Swifts vs Coleraine

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Carlisle United vs Worthing

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.53 · +5.5% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Hamilton Academical vs Alloa Athletic

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Altrincham vs Southend United

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.63 · −7.9% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Folkestone Invicta vs Walton & Hersham

Football · National League. South

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Harrogate Town vs Solihull Moors

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV
Score
5-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Ural vs Ufa

Football · League 1. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

Forest Green Rovers vs Halifax Town

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-08 · first seen 30m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
FC Smiltene-BJSS vs ValmieraFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.14 · −2.6% CLV1-4WON
Slovan Galanta vs PetrzalkaFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.40 · +3.7% CLV0-3WON
SJK Akatemia vs PK-35 HelsinkiFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.85 · +5.7% CLV0-3WON
Utsiktens vs Hassleholms IFFootball · Division 2. South2026-08-08first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.58 · −12.2% CLV0-2WON
Bytca vs Inter BratislavaFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.55 · −6.1% CLV0-3WON
Lokomotiv Moscow vs Akron TolyattiFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-08first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV0-0LOST
NEC Nijmegen vs TelstarFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.45 · +1.4% CLV1-2LOST
Glentoran vs Limavady UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV2-0WON
Central Espanol vs Atletico ProgresoFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV1-0WON
Dunfermline vs Ayr UnitedFootball · Championship2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.02 · +6.3% CLV1-1LOST
Morecambe vs Spennymoor TownFootball · National league. North2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 1.62 · −11.0% CLV1-1LOST
Skovde AIK vs Lunds BKFootball · Division 2. South2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.60 · −8.6% CLV1-1LOST
Spartans Edinburgh vs Edinburgh CityFootball · League 22026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.45 · −2.0% CLV2-2LOST
Braintree Town vs Tonbridge AngelsFootball · National League. South2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 1.90 · −24.0% CLV0-4LOST
Viking vs Sarpsborg 08Football · Superleague2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.38 · +2.2% CLV2-1WON
Boreham Wood vs TamworthFootball · National league2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.37 · −6.8% CLV3-3LOST
Njardvik vs IF VestriFootball · Division 12026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.47 · +6.5% CLV3-1WON
Dungannon Swifts vs ColeraineFootball · Premier League2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV1-3WON
Carlisle United vs WorthingFootball · National league2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.53 · +5.5% CLV2-3LOST
Hamilton Academical vs Alloa AthleticFootball · League 12026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV1-0WON
Altrincham vs Southend UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.63 · −7.9% CLV1-3WON
Folkestone Invicta vs Walton & HershamFootball · National League. South2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.80 · −2.7% CLV5-1WON
Harrogate Town vs Solihull MoorsFootball · National league2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV5-2WON
Ural vs UfaFootball · League 1. Season 26/272026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV3-0WON
Forest Green Rovers vs Halifax TownFootball · National league2026-08-08first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.55 · +6.9% CLV3-2WON

1826–1850 of 1999· 1206 won / 792 lost · −128.7u · −6.4% yield · of 4027 total

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