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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3912

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3913

3912 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.6%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−208.9u

over 3912u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%72455.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%148062.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.8pp
70–80%avg claim 75%149470.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20070.5%64%–76%64%–76%−9.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

809

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3912

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance198668.5%−84.8u
Match winner192760.5%−124.1u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League72967.2%−20.6u
Superleague32960.8%−41.4u
League 132067.5%−9.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210166.3%−3.6u
Serie B9661.5%−8.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship6965.2%−4.6u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5461.1%−5.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Willem II vs Excelsior

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.30 · +7.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-05 · first seen 59m before

Novorizontino vs Avai

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 59m before

Roma vs Atalanta

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.72 · +3.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 44m before

Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.65 · −8.6% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 44m before

Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki Nis

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.80 · −5.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo Flandria

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.18 · +1.4% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 Sofia

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.53 · +2.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 14m before

Motor Lublin vs Legia Warsaw

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-05 · first seen 14m before

Danubio vs Penarol Montevideo

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Al-Nassr Riyadh

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.52 · +7.0% CLV
Score
0:3

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Ajax vs PSV

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV
Score
1:3

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

AEK Athens vs Aris Thessaloniki

Football · Superleague 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.38 · +4.5% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Stabaek vs Moss

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Tristan Suarez vs San Martin Tucuman

Football · Primera Nacional

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.18 · +6.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Saint Etienne vs Montpellier

Football · Ligue 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
3:1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSB

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 2h before

Omonia Aradippou vs Krasava Ypsonas

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.03 · −2.4% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Fenerbahce vs Besiktas

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.80 · −18.2% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Klagenfurt vs Fribourg-Gotteron

Ice Hockey · Champions League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.32 · −10.2% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Coleraine vs Crusaders

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.16 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Maritimo vs Benfica

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.25 · +5.9% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Alverca vs Braga

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.73 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Sheriff Tiraspol vs Petrocub

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

Schalke 04 vs Bayern

Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.16 · −3.3% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-05 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Willem II vs ExcelsiorFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 59m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.30 · +7.0% CLV0-3WON
Novorizontino vs AvaiFootball · Serie B2026-09-05first seen 59m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON
Roma vs AtalantaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-09-05first seen 44m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.72 · +3.0% CLV2-1WON
Le Havre vs Stade Brestois 29Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-09-05first seen 44m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.90+19019/101.90+1.90-0.53from 2.65 · −8.6% CLV1-2LOST
Mladost Lucani vs Radnicki NisFootball · Superleague2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.80 · −5.1% CLV1-0WON
Sportivo Italiano vs Deportivo FlandriaFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.18 · +1.4% CLV3-1WON
Levski Sofia vs CSKA 1948 SofiaFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 14m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.53 · +2.0% CLV1-0WON
Motor Lublin vs Legia WarsawFootball · Superleague2026-09-05first seen 14m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV2-3WON
Danubio vs Penarol MontevideoFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.72 · +1.2% CLV0-4WON
Al-Ittihad Jeddah vs Al-Nassr RiyadhFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.52 · +7.0% CLV0:3WON
Ajax vs PSVFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV1:3WON
AEK Athens vs Aris ThessalonikiFootball · Superleague 12026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.38 · +4.5% CLV5-0WON
Stabaek vs MossFootball · Division 12026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV2-3LOST
Tristan Suarez vs San Martin TucumanFootball · Primera Nacional2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.18 · +6.3% CLV2-0WON
Saint Etienne vs MontpellierFootball · Ligue 22026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV3:1WON
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah TikvaFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.50 · +1.4% CLV2-1WON
Dinamo Bucuresti vs FCSBFootball · League 12026-09-05first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Omonia Aradippou vs Krasava YpsonasFootball · Division 12026-09-05first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.03 · −2.4% CLV2-1WON
Fenerbahce vs BesiktasFootball · Superleague2026-09-05first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.80 · −18.2% CLV1-2LOST
Klagenfurt vs Fribourg-GotteronIce Hockey · Champions League2026-09-05first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.32 · −10.2% CLV1-3WON
Coleraine vs CrusadersFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.16 · 0.0% CLV4-1WON
Maritimo vs BenficaFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.25 · +5.9% CLV0-3WON
Alverca vs BragaFootball · Premier League2026-09-05first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.73 · 0.0% CLV1-2WON
Sheriff Tiraspol vs PetrocubFootball · Superleague2026-09-05first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV2-2LOST
Schalke 04 vs BayernFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/272026-09-05first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.16 · −3.3% CLV0-0LOST

151–175 of 1927· 1165 won / 761 lost · −124.1u · −6.4% yield · of 3913 total

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