Seattle Storm (w) vs Chicago Sky (w)
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 97-88
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
4024
4023 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−212.8u
over 4023u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
W7
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 762 | 55.5%52%–59% | −0.4pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1511 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1529 | 70.3%68%–73% | −4.7pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
920
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2028 | 68.6% | −85.5u |
| Match winner | 1996 | 60.4% | −127.3u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 207 | 59.4% | +18.8u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 101 | 62.4% | −7.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4024 picks with a captured kickoff.
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · Liga Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3d 4h before
Football · Women. Series A1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 15m before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Division 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Virsliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Liga Nacional
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Women. Series A1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 55m before
Football · Primera Division. Group stage
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 19h before
Football · Primera Nacional
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 40m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 10m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seattle Storm (w) vs Chicago Sky (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 97-88 | WON |
| Puerto Montt vs Espanol OsornoBasketball · Liga Nacional | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10derived | — | 82-79 | WON |
| Union Santa Fe vs Central Cordoba SdEFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Deportivo Cuenca vs MantaFootball · Premier League | first seen 3d 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 5.70+47047/104.70+4.70-0.21from 6.00 · +5.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Botafogo RJ (w) vs Fluminense RJ (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.62 · +8.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Sepsi Sfantu Gheorghe vs FCSBFootball · League 1 | first seen 15m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.88 · +1.6% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Jong PSV Eindhoven vs FC VolendamFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.85 · −6.1% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Moss vs OddFootball · Division 1 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 2.08 · +6.7% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Sirius vs BrommapojkarnaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.33 · −7.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Vasteras vs DjurgardensFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.80 · +16.1% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Rigas FS vs GrobinasFootball · Virsliga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.12-8333/250.12-8.33+0.12from 1.11 · −0.9% CLV | 6-1 | WON |
| Flora 2 Tallinn vs Nomme Kalju 2Football · League 2 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.48 · +11.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Transinvest vs PanevezysFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Nacional Montevideo vs Boston RiverFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.50 · +5.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Santos SP vs Atletico ParanaenseFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 3.75+27511/42.75+2.75-0.36from 3.60 · −4.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Union La Calera vs Colo ColoFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.70 · +1.8% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| FC Juticalpa vs Olimpia TegucigalpaFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.25 · +1.6% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Sao Paulo (w) vs Red Bull Bragantino (w)Football · Women. Series A1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Melgar vs CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.25 · +5.0% CLV | 2-4 | LOST |
| Gimnasia Tiro vs Nueva ChicagoFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.85 · +8.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Breidablik vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 55m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.55 · −16.2% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Trujillanos vs Deportivo TachiraFootball · Primera Division. Group stage | first seen 40m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.70 · +4.9% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Independiente vs PlatenseFootball · Premier League | first seen 19h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.80 · +1.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Quilmes vs AlmagroFootball · Primera Nacional | first seen 40m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.48 · −1.3% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Benfica vs Academico ViseuFootball · Premier League | first seen 10m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.10 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
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