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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4012

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4013

4012 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−215.3u

over 4012u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L1

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%75955.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%150762.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%152570.3%68%–73%68%–73%−4.7pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20771.5%65%–77%65%–77%−8.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

909

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4012

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.5u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance202468.5%−86.9u
Match winner198960.4%−128.4u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73967.3%−21.1u
Superleague34161.3%−40.4u
League 132567.1%−11.1u
MLB↗MLB league page20659.2%+18.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10162.4%−7.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4013 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Annan Athletic vs Clyde

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.93 · −10.2% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Hamilton Academical vs Airdrieonians

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.13 · +6.5% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Kokand 1912 vs Lokomotiv Tashkent

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Barrow vs Hornchurch

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.57 · −7.6% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

South Shields vs Chorley

Football · National league. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.53 · +5.5% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Sutton United vs Altrincham

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.92 · +6.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Huddersfield vs AFC Wimbledon

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.53 · −1.3% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Chester vs Kings Lynn Town

Football · National league. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Weston SM vs Hampton and Richmond Borough

Football · National League. South

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.77 · +10.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Barnsley vs Bromley

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs Karvina

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-5

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Portadown vs Dungannon Swifts

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.35 · +9.3% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Macclesfield vs Radcliffe

Football · National league. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.58 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

East Kilbride vs Cove Rangers

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.37 · −3.5% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Middlesbrough vs Lincoln City

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.35 · −8.8% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Dumbarton vs Edinburgh City

Football · League 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.00 · −7.0% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Wealdstone vs Harrogate Town

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.95 · −7.1% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Union Saint-Gilloise vs Zulte Waregem

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Brackley Town vs Hebburn Town

Football · National league. North

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool United

Football · National league

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.00 · −7.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Mjondalen IF vs Eik Tonsberg

Football · Division 2. Group 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Quick Boys vs RKAV Volendam

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Jiskra Domazlice vs Benesov

Football · League 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.35 · +8.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Zhenys vs Zhetysu

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.05 · −10.9% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

Mjolby vs Sirius

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.00 · −9.1% CLV
Score
4-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 54m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Annan Athletic vs ClydeFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.93 · −10.2% CLV1-2WON
Hamilton Academical vs AirdrieoniansFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.13 · +6.5% CLV4-0WON
Kokand 1912 vs Lokomotiv TashkentFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV2-1LOST
Barrow vs HornchurchFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.57 · −7.6% CLV1-2LOST
South Shields vs ChorleyFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.53 · +5.5% CLV2-1WON
Sutton United vs AltrinchamFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.92 · +6.7% CLV1-0WON
Huddersfield vs AFC WimbledonFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.53 · −1.3% CLV3-0WON
Chester vs Kings Lynn TownFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV2-0WON
Weston SM vs Hampton and Richmond BoroughFootball · National League. South2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.77 · +10.6% CLV2-0WON
Barnsley vs BromleyFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV0-1LOST
Arsenal Ceska Lipa vs KarvinaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV2-5WON
Portadown vs Dungannon SwiftsFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.35 · +9.3% CLV0-1WON
Macclesfield vs RadcliffeFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.58 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
East Kilbride vs Cove RangersFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.37 · −3.5% CLV3-0WON
Middlesbrough vs Lincoln CityFootball · Championship2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.35 · −8.8% CLV2-1WON
Dumbarton vs Edinburgh CityFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.00 · −7.0% CLV0-3LOST
Wealdstone vs Harrogate TownFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 1.95 · −7.1% CLV1-3WON
Union Saint-Gilloise vs Zulte WaregemFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.35 · −6.9% CLV0-0LOST
Brackley Town vs Hebburn TownFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV1-1LOST
Aldershot Town vs Hartlepool UnitedFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.00 · −7.0% CLV0-1WON
Mjondalen IF vs Eik TonsbergFootball · Division 2. Group 12026-08-15first seen 54m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.33 · −1.5% CLV2-1WON
Quick Boys vs RKAV VolendamFootball · Division 22026-08-15first seen 54m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV5-0WON
Jiskra Domazlice vs BenesovFootball · League 32026-08-15first seen 54m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.35 · +8.0% CLV1-0WON
Zhenys vs ZhetysuFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 54m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.05 · −10.9% CLV4-1WON
Mjolby vs SiriusFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 54m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.00 · −9.1% CLV4-3LOST

1501–1525 of 1989· 1200 won / 788 lost · −128.4u · −6.5% yield · of 4013 total

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