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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=4002

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

4003

4002 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−214.3u

over 4002u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%75155.4%52%–59%52%–59%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%150662.4%60%–65%60%–65%−3.9pp
70–80%avg claim 75%152470.3%68%–73%68%–73%−4.6pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20771.5%65%–77%65%–77%−8.9pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

899

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 4002

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.3u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance202368.6%−85.9u
Match winner198060.4%−128.4u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73967.3%−21.1u
Superleague34161.3%−40.4u
League 132567.1%−11.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19959.8%+19.6u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210465.4%−5.2u
Serie B10162.4%−7.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7963.3%−5.8u
Championship7665.8%−4.4u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 4003 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Khor Fakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli Dubai

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV
Score
1-5

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Deportivo Camioneros vs Deportivo Merlo

Football · Primera B Metropolitana

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Fatih Karagumruk vs Umraniyespor

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.62 · +5.9% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Kasimpasa SK vs Trabzonspor

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.80 · −6.2% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Shams Azar vs Persepolis Tehran

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Slovan Bratislava vs Ruzomberok

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Nafta Lendava vs Celje

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 1.75 · −17.5% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Kazincbarcika vs Kozarmisleny SE

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 2h before

Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC Rustavi

Football · National League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.12 · +1.9% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

PK-35 Helsinki vs Klubi 04

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.60 · −4.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Ordabasy vs Altay Oskemen

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.22 · +5.2% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna Chernivtsi

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.65 · −6.8% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger AC

Football · Bundesliga

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.00 · +1.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

FC Volendam vs Oss

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.33 · −7.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Frydek-Mistek vs Vsetin

Football · League 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Willem II vs NEC Nijmegen

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Annan Athletic vs Clyde

Football · League 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.93 · −10.2% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Hamilton Academical vs Airdrieonians

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.13 · +6.5% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Kokand 1912 vs Lokomotiv Tashkent

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Barrow vs Hornchurch

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.57 · −7.6% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

South Shields vs Chorley

Football · National league. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.53 · +5.5% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Sutton United vs Altrincham

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.92 · +6.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Huddersfield vs AFC Wimbledon

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.53 · −1.3% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Chester vs Kings Lynn Town

Football · National league. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Weston SM vs Hampton and Richmond Borough

Football · National League. South

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.77 · +10.6% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Khor Fakkan vs Shabab Al Ahli DubaiFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV1-5WON
Deportivo Camioneros vs Deportivo MerloFootball · Primera B Metropolitana2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV0-0LOST
Fatih Karagumruk vs UmraniyesporFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.62 · +5.9% CLV2-1WON
Kasimpasa SK vs TrabzonsporFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.80 · −6.2% CLV1-1LOST
Shams Azar vs Persepolis TehranFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV0-2WON
Slovan Bratislava vs RuzomberokFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV5-0WON
Nafta Lendava vs CeljeFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived2.12+11228/251.12+1.12-0.89from 1.75 · −17.5% CLV1-3WON
Kazincbarcika vs Kozarmisleny SEFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.65 · −5.7% CLV2-1WON
Dinamo Tbilisi vs FC RustaviFootball · National League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.12 · +1.9% CLV0-3LOST
PK-35 Helsinki vs Klubi 04Football · League 12026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.60 · −4.8% CLV1-1LOST
Ordabasy vs Altay OskemenFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.16-6254/250.16-6.25+0.16from 1.22 · +5.2% CLV3-1WON
Karpaty Lviv vs Bukovyna ChernivtsiFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.65 · −6.8% CLV3-0WON
Austria Lustenau vs Wolfsberger ACFootball · Bundesliga2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.00 · +1.0% CLV2-1LOST
FC Volendam vs OssFootball · Division 12026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.33 · −7.0% CLV3-0WON
Frydek-Mistek vs VsetinFootball · League 32026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.38 · −4.8% CLV2-1WON
Willem II vs NEC NijmegenFootball · Premier League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV1-4WON
Annan Athletic vs ClydeFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 55m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.93 · −10.2% CLV1-2WON
Hamilton Academical vs AirdrieoniansFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.13 · +6.5% CLV4-0WON
Kokand 1912 vs Lokomotiv TashkentFootball · Superleague2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.25 · −6.3% CLV2-1LOST
Barrow vs HornchurchFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.57 · −7.6% CLV1-2LOST
South Shields vs ChorleyFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.53 · +5.5% CLV2-1WON
Sutton United vs AltrinchamFootball · National league2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.92 · +6.7% CLV1-0WON
Huddersfield vs AFC WimbledonFootball · League 12026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.53 · −1.3% CLV3-0WON
Chester vs Kings Lynn TownFootball · National league. North2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV2-0WON
Weston SM vs Hampton and Richmond BoroughFootball · National League. South2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.77 · +10.6% CLV2-0WON

1476–1500 of 1980· 1195 won / 784 lost · −128.4u · −6.5% yield · of 4003 total

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