Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Saitama Seibu Lions
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 8:2
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Baseball · NPB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4h before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · USL. League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4d 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Football · Serie A
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 29m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 59m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Saitama Seibu LionsBaseball · NPB | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 8:2 | WON |
| Vancouver Whitecaps vs St. Louis CityFootball · MLS | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.40 · −5.4% CLV | 1:3 | LOST |
| Seattle Mariners vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 2:9 | LOST |
| Isidro Metapan vs IncaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Seattle Sounders vs New York Red BullsFootball · MLS | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.75 · −1.1% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Dallas vs Sporting Kansas CityFootball · MLS | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 5.40 · +285.7% CLV | 3:3 | LOST |
| Union Omaha vs Charlotte IndependenceFootball · USL. League 1 | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.70+27027/102.70+2.70-0.37from 1.70 · −54.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Fluminense RJ vs Vasco da Gama RJFootball · Serie A | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 0-5 | LOST |
| San Diego Padres vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 1-5 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| Chicago White Sox vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 4-6 | WON |
| Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 2-9 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 6-7 | LOST |
| Cusco vs Deportivo MoqueguaFootball · Premier League | first seen 4d 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 11.50+105021/210.50+10.50-0.10from 11.00 · −4.3% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 1-6 | LOST |
| Fuerte San Francisco vs FASFootball · Premier League | first seen 29m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Boyaca Chico vs Once CaldasFootball · Serie A | first seen 29m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.85 · +1.1% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Miami Marlins vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 5-6 | WON |
| New York Mets vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 5-9 | LOST |
| Sport Huancayo vs Sport BoysFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 3.55+25551/202.55+2.55-0.39from 4.50 · +26.8% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Atletico Ottawa vs PacificFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Sporting Lisbon vs Nacional MadeiraFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.25 · +13.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Rijeka vs OsijekFootball · Premier League | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.75 · −2.8% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Villarreal vs Deportivo La CorunaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/27 | first seen 59m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.52 · +4.8% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
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