Chippa United vs Orlando Pirates
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.30 · +1.6% CLV
- Score
- 0-3
· first seen 58m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3997
3996 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.5%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−216.8u
over 3996u staked
Yield
−5.4%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L2
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 748 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1505 | 62.3%60%–65% | −3.9pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1522 | 70.4%68%–73% | −4.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 207 | 71.5%65%–77% | −8.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
893
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±86.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 2022 | 68.5% | −86.3u |
| Match winner | 1975 | 60.3% | −130.5u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 739 | 67.3% | −21.1u |
| Superleague | 341 | 61.3% | −40.4u |
| League 1 | 325 | 67.1% | −11.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 197 | 59.4% | +17.7u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 104 | 65.4% | −5.2u |
| Serie B | 99 | 61.6% | −8.4u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 79 | 63.3% | −5.8u |
| Championship | 76 | 65.8% | −4.4u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 55 | 60.0% | −6.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3997 picks with a captured kickoff.
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Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 23m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chippa United vs Orlando PiratesFootball · Premier League | first seen 58m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.30 · +1.6% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| HJK Helsinki vs JaroFootball · Superleague | first seen 58m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Banik Ostrava vs Artis BrnoFootball · Superleague | first seen 58m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Deportivo Santani vs Deportivo CarapeguaFootball · Division 2 | first seen 58m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.62 · −10.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Feyenoord vs Go Ahead EaglesFootball · Premier League | first seen 28m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.35 · +10.7% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Twente vs PEC ZwolleFootball · Premier League | first seen 28m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.23 · −1.6% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Sandviken Bergen vs JervFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Brommapojkarna vs OrgryteFootball · Premier League | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Zenit SPb vs Dynamo MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59from 1.63 · +2.5% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Follo vs RanaFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.07 · +1.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Shenzhen Juniors vs Ningbo ProfessionalFootball · League 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.87-11587/1000.87-1.15+0.87from 1.75 · −6.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Trelleborgs vs EskilsminneFootball · Division 2. South | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 1-3 | LOST |
| Gimpo Citizen vs Cheonan CityFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.72 · +4.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Seoul E-Land vs Ansan GreenersFootball · K League 2 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Ulsan Hyundai vs Gangwon FCFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.50 · +2.0% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| LNZ Lebedin vs Chernomorets OdessaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Sochi vs Volga UlyanovskFootball · League 1. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Sparta 2 Prague vs Admira PragueFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.35 · −5.6% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Newcastle North Stars vs Perth ThunderIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.50 · +7.1% CLV | 6-3 | WON |
| Sutherland Sharks vs Norths BearsBasketball · NBL 1. East. Final | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | — | 64-76 | LOST |
| Preston Lions vs Dandenong ThunderFootball · Victoria.National Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.13 · −0.9% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Rockdale Ilinden vs Wollongong WolvesFootball · New South Wales. National Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Melbourne Ice vs Adelaide AdrenalineIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.09 · +1.9% CLV | 10-0 | WON |
| Canberra Brave vs Brisbane LightningIce Hockey · AIHL League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived | 1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.04 · −2.8% CLV | 9-4 | WON |
| Los Angeles vs San DiegoFootball · MLS | first seen 23m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.65 · +3.1% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
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