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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3964

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3965

3964 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−215.5u

over 3964u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W2

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%74155.2%52%–59%52%–59%−0.7pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149562.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%151070.5%68%–73%68%–73%−4.5pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20471.1%65%–77%65%–77%−9.3pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

861

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3964

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.9u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200568.5%−85.8u
Match winner196060.3%−129.7u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73367.1%−21.9u
Superleague33661.3%−40.0u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210366.0%−4.2u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3965 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Spokane Velocity vs Corpus Christi

Football · USL. League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.68 · −1.2% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 53m before

Alianza Lima vs UTC Cajamarca

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.27 · +3.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-16 · first seen 23m before

Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis Quillota

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.40 · +24.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 3d 2h before

Inter Bratislava vs Slovan Galanta

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.32 · −3.6% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

Ujpest vs MTK Budapest

Football · National League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.88 · −1.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-15 · first seen 1h before

IF Karlstad vs Assyriska Sodertalje

Football · Division 2. North

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-15 · first seen 55m before

Rockingham Flames vs Geraldton Buccaneers

Basketball · NBL 1. West. Final

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
—
Score
66-62

2026-08-15 · first seen 3h before

Saint Etienne vs Clermont

Football · Ligue 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.52 · +8.6% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-14 · first seen 32m before

Guingamp vs Boulogne

Football · Ligue 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 32m before

AFC Eskilstuna vs Hammarby Talang

Football · Division 2. North

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.50 · −10.7% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 2h before

Elfsborg vs Vasteras

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.78 · +12.7% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-14 · first seen 2h before

Aluminij vs Nafta Lendava

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.40 · +12.7% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Tromsdalen vs Lorenskog

Football · Division 2. Group 2

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.10 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-09 · first seen 1h before

Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca Chico

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 5h before

Monaro Panthers vs Belconnen United

Football · Capital Territory. National Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.11 · 0.0% CLV
Score
7-0

2026-08-08 · first seen 11m before

Afturelding vs HK Kopavogur

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 8m before

Volsungur vs IF Vestri

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.25 · −4.3% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina Novi Sad

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Jong Utrecht vs Vitesse

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.90 · +3.8% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-17 · first seen 4h before

Brondby vs Sonderjyske

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 3h before

Dziugas Telsiai vs Suduva Marijampole

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-17 · first seen 2h before

Universitatea Cluj vs UTA Arad

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-17 · first seen 2h before

Mirassol vs Flamengo RJ

Football · Serie A

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.87 · +3.9% CLV
Score
1-5

2026-08-16 · first seen 2h before

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee Brewers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
2-6

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City Royals

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-16 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Spokane Velocity vs Corpus ChristiFootball · USL. League 12026-08-16first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.68 · −1.2% CLV2-3LOST
Alianza Lima vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Premier League2026-08-16first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.27 · +3.3% CLV1-0WON
Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis QuillotaFootball · Serie B2026-08-17first seen 3d 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.40 · +24.4% CLV0-2WON
Inter Bratislava vs Slovan GalantaFootball · League 22026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.32 · −3.6% CLV3-0WON
Ujpest vs MTK BudapestFootball · National League2026-08-15first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.88 · −1.1% CLV1-1LOST
IF Karlstad vs Assyriska SodertaljeFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-15first seen 55m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.45 · 0.0% CLV0-2LOST
Rockingham Flames vs Geraldton BuccaneersBasketball · NBL 1. West. Final2026-08-15first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived—66-62WON
Saint Etienne vs ClermontFootball · Ligue 22026-08-14first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.52 · +8.6% CLV3-1WON
Guingamp vs BoulogneFootball · Ligue 22026-08-14first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV1-0WON
AFC Eskilstuna vs Hammarby TalangFootball · Division 2. North2026-08-14first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.50 · −10.7% CLV1-0LOST
Elfsborg vs VasterasFootball · Premier League2026-08-14first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.78 · +12.7% CLV3-0WON
Aluminij vs Nafta LendavaFootball · Superleague2026-08-09first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.40 · +12.7% CLV1-1LOST
Tromsdalen vs LorenskogFootball · Division 2. Group 22026-08-09first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 3.10 · 0.0% CLV2-0LOST
Independiente Santa Fe vs Boyaca ChicoFootball · Serie A2026-08-08first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV2-0WON
Monaro Panthers vs Belconnen UnitedFootball · Capital Territory. National Premier League2026-08-08first seen 11m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.11 · 0.0% CLV7-0WON
Afturelding vs HK KopavogurFootball · Division 12026-08-17first seen 8m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.55 · +8.4% CLV2-2LOST
Volsungur vs IF VestriFootball · Division 12026-08-17first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.25 · −4.3% CLV2-0WON
Novi Pazar vs Vojvodina Novi SadFootball · Superleague2026-08-17first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV2-0LOST
Jong Utrecht vs VitesseFootball · Division 12026-08-17first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.90 · +3.8% CLV1-3WON
Brondby vs SonderjyskeFootball · Superleague2026-08-17first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.38-26319/500.38-2.63+0.38from 1.40 · +1.4% CLV3-2WON
Dziugas Telsiai vs Suduva MarijampoleFootball · Premier League2026-08-17first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV0-2WON
Universitatea Cluj vs UTA AradFootball · League 12026-08-17first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.95 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Mirassol vs Flamengo RJFootball · Serie A2026-08-16first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.87 · +3.9% CLV1-5WON
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—2-6LOST
Los Angeles Angels vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB2026-08-16first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—0-3LOST

1301–1325 of 1960· 1182 won / 777 lost · −129.7u · −6.6% yield · of 3965 total

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