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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3951

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3952

3951 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−210.9u

over 3951u staked

Yield

−5.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73955.3%52%–59%52%–59%−0.6pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149062.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

848

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3951

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.7u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner195160.5%−124.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page19259.9%+19.1u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9961.6%−8.4u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3952 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Fastav Zlin vs Slovan Liberec

Football · Superleague

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.85 · +4.5% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 1h before

Montrose vs East Kilbride

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Macclesfield vs Brackley Town

Football · National league. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.82 · +10.3% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Dorking Wanderers vs Maidstone United

Football · National League. South

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.45 · +19.5% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

South Shields vs Merthyr Town

Football · National league. North

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix Rising

Football · USL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.87 · +6.9% CLV
Score
2-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 52m before

Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta Deportivo

Football · Serie A

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-23 · first seen 1h before

Puebla vs Santos Laguna

Football · Liga MX

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-08-23 · first seen 48m before

Lens vs Auxerre

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV
Score
5-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Houston Astros vs Athletics

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-4

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles Angels

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Seattle Mariners vs Chicago Cubs

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-4

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Kansas City Royals vs Detroit Tigers

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh Pirates

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco Giants

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Chicago White Sox vs New York Mets

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-10

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay Rays

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-08-22 · first seen 4h before

Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
—
Score
12-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

Inter Milan vs Monza

Football · Serie A. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.19 · +1.7% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 3h before

Huachipato vs Deportes Limache

Football · Serie A

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Cobreloa vs Union Espanola

Football · Serie B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Cuiaba vs Goias

Football · Serie B

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.17 · −7.7% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Atletico Independiente Siguatepeque vs Deportivo Genesis

Football · Liga Nacional

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.30 · −11.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Gremio (w) vs Botafogo RJ (w)

Football · Women. Series A1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 2h before

Edinburgh City vs Annan Athletic

Football · League 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.25 · +13.6% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-22 · first seen 50m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Fastav Zlin vs Slovan LiberecFootball · Superleague2026-08-22first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.85 · +4.5% CLV0-1WON
Montrose vs East KilbrideFootball · League 12026-08-22first seen 50m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.60 · −3.0% CLV3-0LOST
Macclesfield vs Brackley TownFootball · National league. North2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.82 · +10.3% CLV2-1WON
Dorking Wanderers vs Maidstone UnitedFootball · National League. South2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.45 · +19.5% CLV2-3LOST
South Shields vs Merthyr TownFootball · National league. North2026-08-22first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV1-1LOST
Sacramento Republic vs Phoenix RisingFootball · USL2026-08-23first seen 52m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.87 · +6.9% CLV2-2LOST
Independiente Medellin vs Cucuta DeportivoFootball · Serie A2026-08-23first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV0-1LOST
Puebla vs Santos LagunaFootball · Liga MX2026-08-23first seen 48m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV3-2WON
Lens vs AuxerreFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-08-22first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV5-2WON
Houston Astros vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—3-4WON
Texas Rangers vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—0-3WON
Seattle Mariners vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—5-4LOST
Kansas City Royals vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—3-1LOST
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Pittsburgh PiratesBaseball · MLB2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—4-3WON
Boston Red Sox vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived—3-2WON
Chicago White Sox vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—5-10LOST
Baltimore Orioles vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB2026-08-22first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—3-2WON
Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB2026-08-22first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived—12-3WON
Inter Milan vs MonzaFootball · Serie A. Season 26/272026-08-22first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.19 · +1.7% CLV4-1WON
Huachipato vs Deportes LimacheFootball · Serie A2026-08-22first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV1-3WON
Cobreloa vs Union EspanolaFootball · Serie B2026-08-22first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.85 · +12.1% CLV0-1LOST
Cuiaba vs GoiasFootball · Serie B2026-08-22first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.17 · −7.7% CLV1-1LOST
Atletico Independiente Siguatepeque vs Deportivo GenesisFootball · Liga Nacional2026-08-22first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.30 · −11.5% CLV1-1LOST
Gremio (w) vs Botafogo RJ (w)Football · Women. Series A12026-08-22first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.20 · +0.8% CLV1-0WON
Edinburgh City vs Annan AthleticFootball · League 22026-08-22first seen 50m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.98-10249/500.98-1.02+0.98from 2.25 · +13.6% CLV1-0WON

1001–1025 of 1951· 1179 won / 771 lost · −124.8u · −6.4% yield · of 3952 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.