Kickers Emden vs Schoningen
Football · Regional League. North
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
- Feed close
- 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV
- Score
- 5-0
· first seen 3m before
Vitibet Algorithm
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices
Meaningful samplen=7142Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7147
7142 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 62%–64%
Profit
−517.8u
over 7142u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Streaks and worst run
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W2
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
Claimed vs what happened
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 13 | 84.6%58%–96% | −6.0pp |
Calibration over time
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
12
Performance charts
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Cumulative P/L by pick (units)
all 7142
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
P/L by month (units)
P/L by league (units)
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
By market
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3964 | 58.5% | −347.0u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
By league
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Recent settled picks
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7147 picks with a captured kickoff.
Lost
HC Ocelari Trinec vs Skoda Plzen
Ice Hockey · Extra-liga
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 3-2
· first seen 3m before
Rana vs Honefoss
Football · Division 2. Group 2
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.70 · −8.1% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 3m before
Zimbru vs Dacia Buiucani
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
- Feed close
- 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.23 · −6.8% CLV
- Score
- 0-1
· first seen 3m before
BIK Karlskoga vs Vesteros
Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
- Feed close
- 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV
- Score
- 3-2
· first seen 3m before
Sabah Baku vs Imisli
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.12 · +0.9% CLV
- Score
- 3-1
· first seen 2h before
Al-Anwar vs Al-Najma
Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
- Feed close
- 2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.75 · −6.8% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 18h before
GKS Katowice vs Cracovia Krakow
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
- Feed close
- 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.30 · +4.5% CLV
- Score
- 3-2
· first seen 2h before
TWK Innsbruck vs Vienna Capitals
Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
- Feed close
- 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.85 · −5.1% CLV
- Score
- 4-5
· first seen 2h before
Athletic Minas Gerais vs Botafogo SP
Football · Serie B
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
- Feed close
- 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV
- Score
- 1:3
· first seen 38m before
Bunyodkor Tashkent vs Buxoro
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.00 · +3.6% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 2h before
Diosgyori vs Gyirmot
Football · League 2
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
- Feed close
- 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.90 · −4.9% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 2h before
Ikorodou City vs Barau
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
- Feed close
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV
- Score
- 0-0
· first seen 2h before
Boston River vs Atletico Progreso
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
- Feed close
- 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.90 · −1.6% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 2h before
Hohenems vs Imst
Football · Regional League. West
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
- Feed close
- 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV
- Score
- 2-0
· first seen 2h before
Vojvodina Novi Sad vs IMT Novi Beograd
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
- Feed close
- 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.65 · −6.8% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 2h before
SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV Wienerberg
Football · Regional League. East
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.15 · −14.8% CLV
- Score
- 3-0
· first seen 2h before
LSK Kvinner (w) vs Lyn (w)
Football · Women. Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
- Feed close
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV
- Score
- 2-3
· first seen 2h before
Ajka vs Aqvital Csakvar
Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
- Feed close
- 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-0
· first seen 2h before
Tempo Prague vs Slavoj Vysehrad
Football · League 4
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
- Feed close
- 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.63 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 2-1
· first seen 1h before
Ostrov vs Rapid Psary
Football · League 4
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
- Feed close
- 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.07 · +3.5% CLV
- Score
- 1-3
· first seen 1h before
Hvezda vs Chomutov
Football · League 4
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.37 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 1-3
· first seen 1h before
Dynamo Ceske Budejovice vs Aritma Prague
Football · League 3
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 7-0
· first seen 1h before
Gil Vicente vs Maritimo
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
- Feed close
- 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.90 · −2.6% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 1h before
Slany vs Meteor Prague VIII
Football · League 4
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
- Feed close
- 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV
- Score
- 0-2
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kickers Emden vs SchoningenFootball · Regional League. North | first seen 3m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.45 · −3.9% CLV | 5-0 | LOST |
| HC Ocelari Trinec vs Skoda PlzenIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Rana vs HonefossFootball · Division 2. Group 2 | first seen 3m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.70 · −8.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Zimbru vs Dacia BuiucaniFootball · Superleague | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.23 · −6.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| BIK Karlskoga vs VesterosIce Hockey · Allsvenskan | first seen 3m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Sabah Baku vs ImisliFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11from 1.12 · +0.9% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Al-Anwar vs Al-NajmaFootball · Division 1 | first seen 18h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.75 · −6.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| GKS Katowice vs Cracovia KrakowFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.30 · +4.5% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| TWK Innsbruck vs Vienna CapitalsIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.85 · −5.1% CLV | 4-5 | WON |
| Athletic Minas Gerais vs Botafogo SPFootball · Serie B | first seen 38m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV | 1:3 | LOST |
| Bunyodkor Tashkent vs BuxoroFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 2.00 · +3.6% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| Diosgyori vs GyirmotFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.90 · −4.9% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Ikorodou City vs BarauFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Boston River vs Atletico ProgresoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.90 · −1.6% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Hohenems vs ImstFootball · Regional League. West | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Vojvodina Novi Sad vs IMT Novi BeogradFootball · Superleague | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.65 · −6.8% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| SC Wiener Viktoria vs SV WienerbergFootball · Regional League. East | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.15 · −14.8% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| LSK Kvinner (w) vs Lyn (w)Football · Women. Superleague | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Ajka vs Aqvital CsakvarFootball · League 2 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.82 · +4.0% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| Tempo Prague vs Slavoj VysehradFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.63-15963/1000.63-1.59+0.63from 1.63 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Ostrov vs Rapid PsaryFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.07 · +3.5% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Hvezda vs ChomutovFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.37 · 0.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Dynamo Ceske Budejovice vs Aritma PragueFootball · League 3 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.28 · 0.0% CLV | 7-0 | WON |
| Gil Vicente vs MaritimoFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.90 · −2.6% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Slany vs Meteor Prague VIIIFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.60 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.