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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7141

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7146

7141 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−517.9u

over 7141u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1283.3%55%–95%55%–95%−7.3pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

11

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7141

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396358.5%−347.1u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Karpaty Lviv vs Veres Rivne

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.35 · −8.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 53m before

Twente vs PSV

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.12 · −1.4% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 53m before

Norwich City vs Bolton Wanderers

Football · Championship

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-09-20 · first seen 53m before

Reggiana vs Latina

Football · Serie C. Group B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 4.50 · +157.1% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 53m before

AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.22 · −2.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 53m before

Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv Sofia

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.60 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 38m before

Sonderjyske vs Randers

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 23m before

Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lokomotiv Leipzig

Football · Regional League. North-East

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.83 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 23m before

Chemie Leipzig vs Chemnitzer

Football · Regional League. North-East

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV
Score
1:3

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

Yverdon Sport vs Stade Lausanne-Ouchy

Football · Challenge League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.85 · +7.5% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 23m before

Greifswalder FC vs Luckenwalde

Football · Regional League. North-East

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 23m before

Aalborg Handbold vs Nordsjaelland

Handball · Herre Ligaen

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.10 · 0.0% CLV
Score
34-29

2026-09-20 · first seen 23m before

Persijap Jepara vs Persib Bandung

Football · League 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 23m before

Aris Limassol vs Karmiotissa

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV
Score
1:0

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

Arzignano Valchiampo vs Renate

Football · Serie C. Group A

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV
Score
0:0

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Getafe vs Malaga

Football · Primera Division. Season 26/27

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.02 · +7.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 23m before

Vaduz vs Thun

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 23m before

Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-Gilloise

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 4h before

Nice vs Lille

Football · Ligue 1. Season 26/27

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.02 · −5.2% CLV
Score
2:1

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Rot-Weiss Essen vs Hansa Rostock

Football · Bundesliga 3

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.05 · +10.8% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 4h before

Viking vs Lillestrom

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.40 · +7.7% CLV
Score
3:0

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Sukhothai vs Port Bangkok

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.57 · −4.8% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 4h before

Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva Marijampole

Football · Premier League

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 4h before

Sundsvall vs Ljungskile

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.85 · +10.1% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 4h before

Ogre United vs Super Nova

Football · Virsliga

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.08 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 4h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Karpaty Lviv vs Veres RivneFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.35 · −8.8% CLV1-1LOST
Twente vs PSVFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 53m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.12 · −1.4% CLV3-2LOST
Norwich City vs Bolton WanderersFootball · Championship2026-09-20first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.47 · +5.0% CLV3-4LOST
Reggiana vs LatinaFootball · Serie C. Group B2026-09-20first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 4.50 · +157.1% CLV1-0WON
AZ Alkmaar vs TelstarFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 53m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.22 · −2.4% CLV1-0WON
Spartak Varna vs Lokomotiv SofiaFootball · League 12026-09-20first seen 38m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.60 · 0.0% CLV0-1LOST
Sonderjyske vs RandersFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 23m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV4-2LOST
Carl Zeiss Jena vs Lokomotiv LeipzigFootball · Regional League. North-East2026-09-20first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.83 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
Chemie Leipzig vs ChemnitzerFootball · Regional League. North-East2026-09-20first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV1:3WON
Yverdon Sport vs Stade Lausanne-OuchyFootball · Challenge League2026-09-20first seen 23m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.85 · +7.5% CLV0-0LOST
Greifswalder FC vs LuckenwaldeFootball · Regional League. North-East2026-09-20first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.78 · 0.0% CLV3-1WON
Aalborg Handbold vs NordsjaellandHandball · Herre Ligaen2026-09-20first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.10-10001/100.10-10.00+0.10from 1.10 · 0.0% CLV34-29WON
Persijap Jepara vs Persib BandungFootball · League 12026-09-20first seen 23m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.45 · +3.6% CLV1-2WON
Aris Limassol vs KarmiotissaFootball · Division 12026-09-20first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.37 · −2.1% CLV1:0WON
Arzignano Valchiampo vs RenateFootball · Serie C. Group A2026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.45 · +2.1% CLV0:0LOST
Getafe vs MalagaFootball · Primera Division. Season 26/272026-09-20first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.88-11422/250.88-1.14+0.88from 2.02 · +7.4% CLV1-0WON
Vaduz vs ThunFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 23m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV1-2LOST
Royal Antwerp vs Union Saint-GilloiseFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.58 · +1.9% CLV0-2WON
Nice vs LilleFootball · Ligue 1. Season 26/272026-09-20first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.02 · −5.2% CLV2:1LOST
Rot-Weiss Essen vs Hansa RostockFootball · Bundesliga 32026-09-20first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.05 · +10.8% CLV1-1LOST
Viking vs LillestromFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.40 · +7.7% CLV3:0WON
Sukhothai vs Port BangkokFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.57 · −4.8% CLV2-1LOST
Hegelmann Litauen vs Suduva MarijampoleFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.65 · +6.5% CLV1-1LOST
Sundsvall vs LjungskileFootball · League 12026-09-20first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.85 · +10.1% CLV3-2LOST
Ogre United vs Super NovaFootball · Virsliga2026-09-20first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 2.08 · 0.0% CLV1-0LOST

801–825 of 3963· 2314 won / 1644 lost · −347.1u · −8.8% yield · of 7146 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.