Trans Narva vs Levadia Tallinn
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
- Feed close
- 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.20 · −2.4% CLV
- Score
- 1-1
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trans Narva vs Levadia TallinnFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.20 · −2.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 2:7 | LOST |
| Dynamo Brest vs Dnepr MogilevFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.42 · −6.6% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Levadiakos vs Olympiacos PiraeusFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.33 · −2.9% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Ponte Preta vs CRBFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.25 · −2.3% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Slovan Bratislava vs KosiceIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.70 · +1.8% CLV | 3-4 | LOST |
| AFC Eskilstuna vs GefleFootball · Division 2. North | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.70 · +11.8% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| Fenerbahce vs EyupsporFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.17 · 0.0% CLV | 8-0 | WON |
| Notodden vs ArendalFootball · Division 2. Group 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.02 · +9.2% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Chicago White Sox vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | — | 8:1 | LOST |
| Houston Astros vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 2:4 | WON |
| Skjern Handbold vs Skanderborg Handbold HerrerHandball · Herre Ligaen | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.00 · +5.3% CLV | 24:25 | LOST |
| Cleveland Guardians vs AthleticsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | — | 5:3 | WON |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 5:1 | WON |
| Frosinone vs ComoFootball · Serie A. Season 26/27 | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.50 · +2.0% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| New York Mets vs Philadelphia PhilliesBaseball · MLB | first seen 53m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 2:7 | LOST |
| Jablonec vs Fastav ZlinFootball · Superleague | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.42 · −7.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Marumo Gallants vs Orlando PiratesFootball · Premier League | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.35 · 0.0% CLV | 0-2 | WON |
| Tre Penne vs Juvenes/DoganaFootball · Championship | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | 1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.65 · +1.9% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Bergischer HC vs Fuchse BerlinHandball · Bundesliga | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.11-90911/1000.11-9.09+0.11derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.12 · −5.9% CLV | 26-37 | WON |
| Milford vs Durban CityFootball · Premier League | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.75 · 0.0% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Bournemouth vs LiverpoolFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.13 · −5.3% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Zaglebie Lubin vs Wisla PlockFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.35 · −4.1% CLV | 0-2 | LOST |
| Monopoli vs CrotoneFootball · Serie C. Group C | first seen 53m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Pogon Siedlce vs Arka GdyniaFootball · League 1 | first seen 53m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 3.35+23547/202.35+2.35-0.43from 3.65 · +9.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
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