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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7141

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7146

7141 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−517.9u

over 7141u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1283.3%55%–95%55%–95%−7.3pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

11

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7141

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396358.5%−347.1u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Al Baqaa vs Al Faisaly Amman

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-09-20 · first seen 3h before

Al-Jabalain vs Al-Orouba

Football · Division 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 4.00 · +131.2% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 19h before

Potenza vs Cavese

Football · Serie C. Group C

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 3.90 · +114.3% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Mura vs Celje

Football · Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.67 · +3.1% CLV
Score
0-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali

Football · Serie A

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.80 · −5.1% CLV
Score
0:1

2026-09-20 · first seen 5d 1h before

Fulham vs Manchester United

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 3.55 · +77.5% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Raufoss vs Stromsgodset

Football · Division 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.27 · +4.1% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Ujpest vs Zalaegerszeg

Football · National League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.75 · −1.1% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

CS Sfaxien vs Bizertin

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Haugesund vs Strommen

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV
Score
4-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

San Diego Padres vs Miami Marlins

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
7-3

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-4

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Volos vs AEK Athens

Football · Superleague 1

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.35 · +5.5% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco Giants

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota Twins

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-8

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Tromso vs Hamarkameratene

Football · Superleague

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Kongsvinger vs Hodd

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.25 · −1.6% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Lyn vs Ranheim

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.58 · −9.7% CLV
Score
1-4

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Stabaek vs Sogndal

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.30 · −2.3% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 2h before

Degerfors vs Hammarby

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.32 · −0.8% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Colorado Rockies vs Seattle Mariners

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-20 · first seen 22m before

HSG Wetzlar vs VFL Gummersbach

Handball · Bundesliga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.18 · −1.7% CLV
Score
33-36

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Dinamo Minsk vs Avtomobilist

Ice Hockey · Regular season

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.44+14436/251.44+1.44-0.69derived
Feed close
2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 3.05 · +8.9% CLV
Score
5-3

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Manisa vs Istanbulspor

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.83 · +1.7% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs Barys

Ice Hockey · Regular season

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.40 · −3.4% CLV
Score
0-5

2026-09-20 · first seen 1h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Al Baqaa vs Al Faisaly AmmanFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.30 · −1.5% CLV0-4WON
Al-Jabalain vs Al-OroubaFootball · Division 12026-09-20first seen 19h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 4.00 · +131.2% CLV0-0LOST
Potenza vs CaveseFootball · Serie C. Group C2026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82from 3.90 · +114.3% CLV4-2WON
Mura vs CeljeFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.67 · +3.1% CLV0-0LOST
Deportes Tolima vs America de CaliFootball · Serie A2026-09-20first seen 5d 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived2.95+19539/201.95+1.95-0.51from 2.80 · −5.1% CLV0:1WON
Fulham vs Manchester UnitedFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-09-20first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 3.55 · +77.5% CLV1-1LOST
Raufoss vs StromsgodsetFootball · Division 12026-09-20first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.27 · +4.1% CLV0-2WON
Ujpest vs ZalaegerszegFootball · National League2026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.77-13077/1000.77-1.30+0.77from 1.75 · −1.1% CLV2-1WON
CS Sfaxien vs BizertinFootball · League 12026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.52 · −1.9% CLV2-0WON
Haugesund vs StrommenFootball · Division 12026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV4-2WON
San Diego Padres vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—7-3WON
Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York YankeesBaseball · MLB2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—8-4LOST
Volos vs AEK AthensFootball · Superleague 12026-09-20first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.35 · +5.5% CLV1-2WON
Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived—3-1WON
Los Angeles Angels vs Minnesota TwinsBaseball · MLB2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—0-8WON
Tromso vs HamarkamerateneFootball · Superleague2026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.48 · +4.2% CLV3-2WON
Kongsvinger vs HoddFootball · Division 12026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.25 · −1.6% CLV5-1WON
Lyn vs RanheimFootball · Division 12026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.58 · −9.7% CLV1-4LOST
Stabaek vs SogndalFootball · Division 12026-09-20first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.30 · −2.3% CLV2-1WON
Degerfors vs HammarbyFootball · Premier League2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.32 · −0.8% CLV0-1WON
Colorado Rockies vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB2026-09-20first seen 22m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived—1-2WON
HSG Wetzlar vs VFL GummersbachHandball · Bundesliga2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.18 · −1.7% CLV33-36WON
Dinamo Minsk vs AvtomobilistIce Hockey · Regular season2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.44+14436/251.44+1.44-0.69derived2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 3.05 · +8.9% CLV5-3LOST
Manisa vs IstanbulsporFootball · League 12026-09-20first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.83 · +1.7% CLV0-1LOST
Lokomotiv Yaroslavl vs BarysIce Hockey · Regular season2026-09-20first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.40 · −3.4% CLV0-5LOST

751–775 of 3963· 2314 won / 1644 lost · −347.1u · −8.8% yield · of 7146 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.