Boston Legacy (w) vs Houston Dash (w)
Football · Women. NWSL
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
- Feed close
- 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.50 · −6.3% CLV
- Score
- 1-2
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Women. NWSL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague 1
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
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Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
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Football · Serie B
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Football · Bundesliga. Season 26/27
AwayMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 58m before
Football · Superliga
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 43m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · League 2
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superliga
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
Football · Superleague 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 13m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague 1
HomeMatch Winner
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Football · Division 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Legacy (w) vs Houston Dash (w)Football · Women. NWSL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.50 · −6.3% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Dinamo Zagreb vs Lokomotiva ZagrebFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18from 1.19 · +0.8% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Sport Huancayo vs UTC CajamarcaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.28 · +7.6% CLV | 3-2 | WON |
| Zeleznicar Pancevo vs CukarickiFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.70 · −7.1% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Panetolikos vs PAOKFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.58 · +9.0% CLV | 1-3 | WON |
| Cincinnati Reds vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 1-9 | WON |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 4-3 | WON |
| Dinamo Bucuresti vs Farul ConstantaFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.62 · −4.7% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Modena vs EmpoliFootball · Serie B | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.65 · +10.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Paderborn vs HoffenheimFootball · Bundesliga. Season 26/27 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.68 · −5.6% CLV | 3-1 | LOST |
| Petrolul Ploiesti vs Csikszereda Miercurea CiucFootball · League 1 | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.75 · +15.1% CLV | 0:0 | LOST |
| Kortrijk vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League | first seen 58m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| KF Dukagjini vs KF DritaFootball · Superliga | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.45 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Estoril vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Bokelj vs Mladost Donja GoricaFootball · League 1 | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.25 · 0.0% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Soroksar vs TiszakecskeFootball · League 2 | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.00 · −4.8% CLV | 3-3 | LOST |
| Drenica vs LlapiFootball · Superliga | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.65 · +6.0% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Santa Clara vs BragaFootball · Premier League | first seen 43m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40from 3.70 · +5.7% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Egnatia Rrogozhine vs Partizani TiranaFootball · Superleague | first seen 13m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.57 · +4.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Kalamata vs PanathinaikosFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 13m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28from 1.35 · +5.5% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Victoria Sumy vs Nyva TernopilFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV | 1:3 | LOST |
| IB Vestmannaeyjar vs Valur ReykjavikFootball · Premier League | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.70 · −11.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| OFI vs Asteras TripolisFootball · Superleague 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.20 · −4.3% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Omonia Nicosia vs Krasava YpsonasFootball · Division 1 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.20 · 0.0% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Slavia Prague vs Viktoria PlzenFootball · Superleague | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
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