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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3945

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3946

3945 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−214.0u

over 3945u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L3

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73355.1%51%–59%51%–59%−0.8pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149062.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

842

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3945

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner194560.4%−127.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9760.8%−9.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3946 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Genclerbirligi vs Erzurumspor BB

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.90 · −13.6% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 32m before

Legia Warsaw vs Slask Wroclaw

Football · Superleague

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 32m before

Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati Reds

Baseball · MLB

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-10

2026-08-28 · first seen 22m before

CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv Plovdiv

Football · League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.62 · +1.2% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 17m before

Laval vs Grenoble

Football · Ligue 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.07 · +2.5% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Montpellier vs Boulogne

Football · Ligue 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.70 · −2.9% CLV
Score
0:0

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Taawoun Buraydah

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.19 · −3.3% CLV
Score
0:0

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV
Score
2:3

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Oss vs Jong Utrecht

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1:0

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul Ploiesti

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.72 · +6.2% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Rodez vs Pau

Football · Ligue 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.65 · −7.3% CLV
Score
2:2

2026-08-28 · first seen 2m before

Kriens vs Nyonnais

Football · Challenge League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Donau vs FCM Traiskirchen

Football · Regional League. East

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.40 · −2.1% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Kapfenberg vs Blau Weiss Linz

Football · League 1

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.28 · −5.2% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Chemnitzer vs Carl Zeiss Jena

Football · Regional League. North-East

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.18 · +2.3% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Gomel vs Belschina Bobruisk

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.28 · −3.8% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Lunds BK vs Olympic Malmo

Football · Division 2. South

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.68 · −1.2% CLV
Score
7-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Uppsala (w) vs Eskilstuna United (w)

Football · Women. Major League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.20 · −2.4% CLV
Score
0-6

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

VSG Altglienicke vs Chemie Leipzig

Football · Regional League. North-East

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV
Score
1-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart 2

Football · Bundesliga 3

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.65 · −1.8% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 5h before

Bochum vs Osnabruck

Football · Bundesliga 2

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.65 · −8.3% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hertha Berlin

Football · Bundesliga 2

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV
Score
2:4

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri Sofia

Football · League 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.85 · −6.1% CLV
Score
0:2

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Al-Fayha vs Abha

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.95 · +15.7% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-08-28 · first seen 4h before

Al-Riyadh vs Neom

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.93 · +5.5% CLV
Score
0-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Genclerbirligi vs Erzurumspor BBFootball · Superleague2026-08-28first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 1.90 · −13.6% CLV1-1LOST
Legia Warsaw vs Slask WroclawFootball · Superleague2026-08-28first seen 32m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV1-1LOST
Chicago Cubs vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB2026-08-28first seen 22m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived—8-10LOST
CSKA 1948 Sofia vs Lokomotiv PlovdivFootball · League 12026-08-28first seen 17m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.62 · +1.2% CLV2-0WON
Laval vs GrenobleFootball · Ligue 22026-08-28first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived2.02+10251/501.02+1.02-0.98from 2.07 · +2.5% CLV0-3LOST
Montpellier vs BoulogneFootball · Ligue 22026-08-28first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.70 · −2.9% CLV0:0LOST
Al-Nassr Riyadh vs Al-Taawoun BuraydahFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.19 · −3.3% CLV0:0LOST
Groningen vs Fortuna SittardFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.55 · +3.3% CLV2:3LOST
Oss vs Jong UtrechtFootball · Division 12026-08-28first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 1.90 · 0.0% CLV1:0WON
Universitatea Cluj vs Petrolul PloiestiFootball · League 12026-08-28first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.72 · +6.2% CLV2-3LOST
Rodez vs PauFootball · Ligue 22026-08-28first seen 2m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.65 · −7.3% CLV2:2LOST
Kriens vs NyonnaisFootball · Challenge League2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV3-0WON
Donau vs FCM TraiskirchenFootball · Regional League. East2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.40 · −2.1% CLV1-1LOST
Kapfenberg vs Blau Weiss LinzFootball · League 12026-08-28first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.28 · −5.2% CLV2-1LOST
Chemnitzer vs Carl Zeiss JenaFootball · Regional League. North-East2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived2.13+113113/1001.13+1.13-0.88from 2.18 · +2.3% CLV1-1LOST
Gomel vs Belschina BobruiskFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.28 · −3.8% CLV1-0WON
Lunds BK vs Olympic MalmoFootball · Division 2. South2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.68 · −1.2% CLV7-1WON
Uppsala (w) vs Eskilstuna United (w)Football · Women. Major League2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23from 1.20 · −2.4% CLV0-6WON
VSG Altglienicke vs Chemie LeipzigFootball · Regional League. North-East2026-08-28first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV1-1LOST
Fortuna Düsseldorf vs Stuttgart 2Football · Bundesliga 32026-08-28first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.68-14717/250.68-1.47+0.68from 1.65 · −1.8% CLV1-0WON
Bochum vs OsnabruckFootball · Bundesliga 22026-08-28first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.65 · −8.3% CLV0-1LOST
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Hertha BerlinFootball · Bundesliga 22026-08-28first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV2:4WON
Slavia Sofia vs Septemvri SofiaFootball · League 12026-08-28first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.97-10397/1000.97-1.03+0.97from 1.85 · −6.1% CLV0:2LOST
Al-Fayha vs AbhaFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.55+15531/201.55+1.55-0.65from 2.95 · +15.7% CLV1:1LOST
Al-Riyadh vs NeomFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.83-12083/1000.83-1.20+0.83from 1.93 · +5.5% CLV0-2WON

726–750 of 1945· 1174 won / 770 lost · −127.9u · −6.6% yield · of 3946 total

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