Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico Grau
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
- Feed close
- 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV
- Score
- 4-2
· first seen 32m before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
77
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
3913
3912 graded · 1 void
Win rate
64.6%
95% CI 63%–66%
Profit
−208.9u
over 3912u staked
Yield
−5.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
8
Current streak
L1
consecutive losses
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 1 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 46% | 7 | — | — |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 724 | 55.2%52%–59% | −0.7pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 1480 | 62.4%60%–65% | −3.8pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 1494 | 70.5%68%–73% | −4.4pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 80% | 200 | 70.5%64%–76% | −9.9pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 90% | 6 | — | — |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−4pp
809
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.2u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 91 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Double chance | 1986 | 68.5% | −84.8u |
| Match winner | 1927 | 60.5% | −124.1u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 729 | 67.2% | −20.6u |
| Superleague | 329 | 60.8% | −41.4u |
| League 1 | 320 | 67.5% | −9.1u |
| MLBMLB league page | 189 | 59.8% | +18.2u |
| League 2 | 152 | 60.5% | −17.9u |
| Division 1 | 108 | 64.8% | −6.0u |
| Division 2 | 101 | 66.3% | −3.6u |
| Serie B | 96 | 61.5% | −8.8u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 78 | 62.8% | −6.1u |
| Championship | 69 | 65.2% | −4.6u |
| Serie A | 68 | 51.5% | −15.4u |
| National league. NorthNational league. North league page | 54 | 61.1% | −5.7u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3913 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · League 1
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 17m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 12m before
Football · Division 2
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Football · Primera division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 21h before
Football · Premier League
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Premier League. Season 26/27
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Serie A
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Superleague
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · League 1
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Division Nationale
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Football · Segunda Division
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 54m before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo Garcilaso vs Atletico GrauFootball · Premier League | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 4-2 | WON |
| Lokomotiv Sofia vs Ludogorets RazgradFootball · League 1 | first seen 17m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52from 1.50 · −1.3% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Zrinjski Mostar vs Siroki BrijegFootball · Premier League | first seen 17m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.22-45511/500.22-4.55+0.22from 1.25 · +2.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Houston Astros vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Kansas City Royals vs Toronto Blue JaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 12m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 6-1 | LOST |
| Alianza Universidad vs Union MinasFootball · Division 2 | first seen 2m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 3.95+29559/202.95+2.95-0.34from 3.10 · −21.5% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Loznica vs TeleoptikFootball · League 1 | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.70 · +21.4% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Penya Encarnada vs Atletic EscaldesFootball · Primera division | first seen 21h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.40 · −15.2% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Al Shabab Al Ahmadi vs KazmaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Baltika vs Lokomotiv MoscowFootball · Premier League. Season 26/27 | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 2.05 · +2.5% CLV | 0-1 | LOST |
| O'Higgins vs Union La CaleraFootball · Serie A | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.78-12839/500.78-1.28+0.78from 1.70 · −4.5% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Miami Marlins vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 1:6 | WON |
| New York Mets vs San Francisco GiantsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4-2 | WON |
| Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit TigersBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Baltimore Orioles vs Boston Red SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 1-3 | WON |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 4-0 | LOST |
| Kristiansund vs TromsoFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.95-10519/200.95-1.05+0.95from 1.65 · −15.4% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Ruzomberok vs Spartak TrnavaFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 1.70 · −20.9% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs Atlanta BravesBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 4-5 | WON |
| Trabzonspor vs GenclerbirligiFootball · Superleague | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.55 · +9.2% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| Vitoria Guimaraes vs Casa PiaFootball · Premier League | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.50 · +3.4% CLV | 0-0 | LOST |
| Muglaspor vs VansporFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived | 1.80-1254/50.80-1.25+0.80from 1.73 · −3.9% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Batman Petrolspor vs Fatih KaragumrukFootball · League 1 | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 1.95 · −4.9% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Jeunesse Esch vs WiltzFootball · Division Nationale | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.05 · 0.0% CLV | 5-1 | WON |
| Castellon vs AlbaceteFootball · Segunda Division | first seen 54m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 1.48-20812/250.48-2.08+0.48from 1.55 · +4.7% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
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