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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

77

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=3945

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

3946

3945 graded · 1 void

Win rate

64.5%

95% CI 63%–66%

Profit

−214.0u

over 3945u staked

Yield

−5.4%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

8

Current streak

L3

consecutive losses

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%1———
40–50%avg claim 46%7———
50–60%avg claim 56%73355.1%51%–59%51%–59%−0.8pp
60–70%avg claim 66%149062.3%60%–65%60%–65%−4.0pp
70–80%avg claim 75%150670.6%68%–73%68%–73%−4.4pp
80–90%avg claim 80%20270.8%64%–77%64%–77%−9.6pp
90–100%avg claim 90%6———

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−4pp

842

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 3945

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±85.6u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 93 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Double chance200168.5%−86.1u
Match winner194560.4%−127.9u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League73267.2%−21.0u
Superleague33160.7%−41.9u
League 132167.3%−10.1u
MLB↗MLB league page18959.8%+18.2u
League 215260.5%−17.9u
Division 110864.8%−6.0u
Division 210265.7%−4.6u
Serie B9760.8%−9.8u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page7862.8%−6.1u
Championship7464.9%−5.2u
Serie A6851.5%−15.4u
National league. North↗National league. North league page5560.0%−6.7u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 3946 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
8-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 45m before

Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City Royals

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 40m before

Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego Padres

Baseball · MLB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
9-4

2026-08-28 · first seen 40m before

New York Mets vs Houston Astros

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 40m before

Charlotte Independence vs AV Alta

Football · USL. League 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
5-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 30m before

Cobresal vs Palestino

Football · Serie A

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 0m before

General Caballero vs Deportivo Capiata

Football · Division 2

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived
Feed close
2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 1.43 · −29.6% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 3h before

Mushuc Runa vs Delfin

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 2h before

Independiente Yumbo vs Leones

Football · Serie B

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 2h before

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cajamarca

Football · Premier League

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-08-28 · first seen 2h before

Hornchurch vs Woking

Football · National league

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.17 · −11.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

The New Saints vs Colwyn Bay

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

Aldershot Town vs Harrogate Town

Football · National league

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived
Feed close
2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.88 · −9.6% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

Hartlepool United vs Eastleigh

Football · National league

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

Juvenes/Dogana vs Faetano

Football · Championship

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 1h before

Cailungo vs SP Domagnano

Football · Championship

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.40 · +6.1% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-08-28 · first seen 1h before

Rio Ave vs Sporting Lisbon

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.32 · 0.0% CLV
Score
0-4

2026-08-28 · first seen 1h before

Folgore/Falciano vs Murata

Football · Championship

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.10 · +4.8% CLV
Score
3:3

2026-08-28 · first seen 1h before

Crystal Palace vs Manchester City

Football · Premier League. Season 26/27

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived
Feed close
1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV
Score
1:4

2026-08-28 · first seen 1h before

Barry Town vs Airbus UK

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV
Score
1:0

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

Cork City vs Wexford

Football · Division 1

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV
Score
2:3

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

Holywell Town vs Caernarfon

Football · Premier League

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.30 · +11.1% CLV
Score
3-5

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

Kerry vs Treaty United

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.93 · +0.5% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

Genk vs SK Beveren

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.48 · −4.5% CLV
Score
4-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

Connahs Quay vs Cambrian United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-08-28 · first seen 47m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle MarinersBaseball · MLB2026-08-28first seen 45m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—8-1LOST
Cleveland Guardians vs Kansas City RoyalsBaseball · MLB2026-08-28first seen 40m beforeAwayMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived—0-3WON
Tampa Bay Rays vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB2026-08-28first seen 40m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—9-4WON
New York Mets vs Houston AstrosBaseball · MLB2026-08-28first seen 40m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived—1-3WON
Charlotte Independence vs AV AltaFootball · USL. League 12026-08-28first seen 30m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV5-0WON
Cobresal vs PalestinoFootball · Serie A2026-08-28first seen 0m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.35 · 0.0% CLV2-0LOST
General Caballero vs Deportivo CapiataFootball · Division 22026-08-28first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived2.03+103103/1001.03+1.03-0.97from 1.43 · −29.6% CLV2-1WON
Mushuc Runa vs DelfinFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.57-17557/1000.57-1.75+0.57from 1.55 · −1.3% CLV1-0WON
Independiente Yumbo vs LeonesFootball · Serie B2026-08-28first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV1-0WON
Comerciantes Unidos vs CajamarcaFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.55 · +1.3% CLV2-3LOST
Hornchurch vs WokingFootball · National league2026-08-28first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.17 · −11.4% CLV1-0WON
The New Saints vs Colwyn BayFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV5-1WON
Aldershot Town vs Harrogate TownFootball · National league2026-08-28first seen 47m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived2.08+10827/251.08+1.08-0.93from 1.88 · −9.6% CLV3-1LOST
Hartlepool United vs EastleighFootball · National league2026-08-28first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV0-1LOST
Juvenes/Dogana vs FaetanoFootball · Championship2026-08-28first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.60 · +14.3% CLV4-0WON
Cailungo vs SP DomagnanoFootball · Championship2026-08-28first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.40 · +6.1% CLV1-2WON
Rio Ave vs Sporting LisbonFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32from 1.32 · 0.0% CLV0-4WON
Folgore/Falciano vs MurataFootball · Championship2026-08-28first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.05-20001/200.05-20.00+0.05from 1.10 · +4.8% CLV3:3LOST
Crystal Palace vs Manchester CityFootball · Premier League. Season 26/272026-08-28first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.68 · +1.8% CLV1:4WON
Barry Town vs Airbus UKFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.62-16131/500.62-1.61+0.62from 1.68 · +3.7% CLV1:0WON
Cork City vs WexfordFootball · Division 12026-08-28first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.37 · +5.4% CLV2:3LOST
Holywell Town vs CaernarfonFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 47m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.30 · +11.1% CLV3-5WON
Kerry vs Treaty UnitedFootball · Division 12026-08-28first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92from 1.93 · +0.5% CLV3-1WON
Genk vs SK BeverenFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.48 · −4.5% CLV4-0WON
Connahs Quay vs Cambrian UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-08-28first seen 47m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV3-0WON

701–725 of 1945· 1174 won / 770 lost · −127.9u · −6.6% yield · of 3946 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.