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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7141

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7146

7141 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−517.9u

over 7141u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1283.3%55%–95%55%–95%−7.3pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

11

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7141

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396358.5%−347.1u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Colorado Rockies vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Baseball · MLB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
—
Score
8:12

2026-09-24 · first seen 15m before

Tunisia vs Uganda

Football · Qualifying

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV
Score
1:1

2026-09-24 · first seen 5m before

Bregalnica Stip vs Skopje

Football · Division 1

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.65 · +15.4% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-23 · first seen 3h before

SaiPa vs Assat

Ice Hockey · Liiga

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.87 · −3.1% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

Kosice vs Slovan Bratislava

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived
Feed close
2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.35 · −4.1% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

Neftyanik Almetyevsk vs Molot Perm

Ice Hockey · VHL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

Vaasan Sport vs K-Espoo

Ice Hockey · Liiga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.07 · −3.7% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

Shooting Stars vs Katsina United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived
Feed close
1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

Barau vs Abia Warriors

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.47 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-0

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

Shahter Soligorsk vs HC Mogilev

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.47 · +17.6% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

Meteor Prague VIII vs Banik Sokolov

Football · League 4

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived
Feed close
2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.45 · +16.7% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-23 · first seen 1h before

Vykan vs Slavia Hradec Kralove

Football · League 4

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.42 · +1.4% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-23 · first seen 1h before

Beibarys vs Nomad

Ice Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-3

2026-09-23 · first seen 1h before

Snezhnye Barsy vs Omskiye Yastreby

Ice Hockey · JHL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
9.00+8008/18.00+8.00-0.13from 9.50 · +5.6% CLV
Score
3-8

2026-09-23 · first seen 1h before

Sierra Leone vs Zimbabwe

Football · Qualifying

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.55 · −1.9% CLV
Score
2:3

2026-09-24 · first seen 5m before

Austria vs Israel

Football · Division B. Group stage

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived
Feed close
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.43 · −2.7% CLV
Score
3:1

2026-09-24 · first seen 5h before

Thimphu City vs Transport United

Football · Premier League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV
Score
3-0

2026-09-23 · first seen 9m before

Doosan Bears vs KIA Tigers

Baseball · KBO

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-2

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

KT Wiz Suwon vs NC Dinos

Baseball · KBO

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-10

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

Hanwha Eagles vs Lotte Giants

Baseball · KBO

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
—
Score
5-9

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi Dragons

Baseball · NPB

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

Hokkaido Nippon-Nam Fighters vs Rakuten Golden Eagles

Baseball · NPB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
3-5

2026-09-23 · first seen 2h before

Chiba Lotte Marines vs Orix Buffaloes

Baseball · NPB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived
Feed close
—
Score
0-1

2026-09-23 · first seen 1h before

Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri Giants

Baseball · NPB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
1-2

2026-09-23 · first seen 1h before

Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hanshin Tigers

Baseball · NPB

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-8

2026-09-23 · first seen 7m before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Colorado Rockies vs Arizona DiamondbacksBaseball · MLB2026-09-24first seen 15m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived—8:12WON
Tunisia vs UgandaFootball · Qualifying2026-09-24first seen 5m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.45 · +7.4% CLV1:1LOST
Bregalnica Stip vs SkopjeFootball · Division 12026-09-23first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.65 · +15.4% CLV1-0WON
SaiPa vs AssatIce Hockey · Liiga2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.93-10893/1000.93-1.08+0.93from 1.87 · −3.1% CLV1-2LOST
Kosice vs Slovan BratislavaIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived2.45+14529/201.45+1.45-0.69from 2.35 · −4.1% CLV2-4LOST
Neftyanik Almetyevsk vs Molot PermIce Hockey · VHL2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.75 · 0.0% CLV2-1WON
Vaasan Sport vs K-EspooIce Hockey · Liiga2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived2.15+11523/201.15+1.15-0.87from 2.07 · −3.7% CLV0-1WON
Shooting Stars vs Katsina UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.49-20449/1000.49-2.04+0.49derived1.42-23821/500.42-2.38+0.42from 1.45 · +2.1% CLV2-0WON
Barau vs Abia WarriorsFootball · Premier League2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.47 · 0.0% CLV2-0WON
Shahter Soligorsk vs HC MogilevIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.47 · +17.6% CLV4-1WON
Meteor Prague VIII vs Banik SokolovFootball · League 42026-09-23first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.45 · +16.7% CLV0-1WON
Vykan vs Slavia Hradec KraloveFootball · League 42026-09-23first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.42 · +1.4% CLV1-3LOST
Beibarys vs NomadIce Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy2026-09-23first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43from 1.43 · 0.0% CLV1-3WON
Snezhnye Barsy vs Omskiye YastrebyIce Hockey · JHL2026-09-23first seen 1h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived9.00+8008/18.00+8.00-0.13from 9.50 · +5.6% CLV3-8LOST
Sierra Leone vs ZimbabweFootball · Qualifying2026-09-24first seen 5m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.55 · −1.9% CLV2:3LOST
Austria vs IsraelFootball · Division B. Group stage2026-09-24first seen 5h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47from 1.43 · −2.7% CLV3:1WON
Thimphu City vs Transport UnitedFootball · Premier League2026-09-23first seen 9m beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV3-0WON
Doosan Bears vs KIA TigersBaseball · KBO2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—3-2LOST
KT Wiz Suwon vs NC DinosBaseball · KBO2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived—3-10LOST
Hanwha Eagles vs Lotte GiantsBaseball · KBO2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived—5-9WON
Yokohama BayStars vs Chunichi DragonsBaseball · NPB2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived—4-3WON
Hokkaido Nippon-Nam Fighters vs Rakuten Golden EaglesBaseball · NPB2026-09-23first seen 2h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—3-5WON
Chiba Lotte Marines vs Orix BuffaloesBaseball · NPB2026-09-23first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived—0-1WON
Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri GiantsBaseball · NPB2026-09-23first seen 1h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—1-2WON
Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Hanshin TigersBaseball · NPB2026-09-23first seen 7m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived—4-8WON

676–700 of 3963· 2314 won / 1644 lost · −347.1u · −8.8% yield · of 7146 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.