Rivers United vs Kun Khalifa
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived
- Feed close
- 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.23 · −3.1% CLV
- Score
- 5-0
· first seen 2h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Ice Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Ice Hockey · JHL
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 34m before
Football · Primera Nacional. Reserve League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 4m before
Baseball · CPBL
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · CPBL
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · NPB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Football · Qualifying
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 3h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 5h before
Baseball · KBO
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Basketball · WNBA
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 42m before
Football · MLS
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 32m before
Football · Premier League
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2m before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Basketball · WNBA
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 26h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 2h before
Baseball · MLB
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
Baseball · MLB
AwayMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rivers United vs Kun KhalifaFootball · Premier League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35derived | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.23 · −3.1% CLV | 5-0 | WON |
| HС Almaty vs HK AktobeIce Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.35 · +3.8% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Beibarys vs NomadIce Hockey · Pro Hokei Ligasy | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.40 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Stalnye Lisy vs Belye MedvediIce Hockey · JHL | first seen 34m before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.22+12261/501.22+1.22-0.82derived | 3.25+2259/42.25+2.25-0.44from 2.90 · −10.8% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Deportivo Moron (r) vs Atletico San Telmo (r)Football · Primera Nacional. Reserve League | first seen 4m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 3.20+22011/52.20+2.20-0.45from 2.90 · −9.4% CLV | 1-0 | LOST |
| Rakuten Monkeys vs Chinatrust BrothersBaseball · CPBL | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 6-5 | LOST |
| TSG Hawks vs Fubon GuardiansBaseball · CPBL | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 0-8 | WON |
| Hokkaido Nippon-Nam Fighters vs Rakuten Golden EaglesBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 0-6 | WON |
| Gambia vs SomaliaFootball · Qualifying | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.13-76913/1000.13-7.69+0.13from 1.11 · −1.8% CLV | 2:1 | WON |
| Texas Rangers vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 3-1 | LOST |
| SSG Landers vs Samsung LionsBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 4-5 | WON |
| LG Twins vs Lotte GiantsBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 4-6 | LOST |
| KT Wiz Suwon vs NC DinosBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Seattle Mariners vs Houston AstrosBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 6-5 | WON |
| Seattle Storm (w) vs Dallas Wings (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | — | 91-103 | WON |
| Athletics vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 42m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 7-3 | LOST |
| Seattle Sounders vs Real Salt LakeFootball · MLS | first seen 32m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.73 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Alianza San Salvador vs Fuerte San FranciscoFootball · Premier League | first seen 2m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.50-2001/20.50-2.00+0.50from 1.50 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Texas Rangers vs New York MetsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | — | 3-1 | WON |
| New York Liberty (w) vs Atlanta Dream (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 26h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 65-83 | LOST |
| Chicago Cubs vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | — | 2-3 | LOST |
| Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 5-4 | LOST |
| Atlanta Braves vs Cincinnati RedsBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 3-2 | WON |
| Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland GuardiansBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 1-0 | LOST |
| New York Yankees vs Tampa Bay RaysBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 9-2 | LOST |
Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.