Djurgardens vs Vaxjo Lakers
Ice Hockey · SHL
AwayMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 2.04+10426/251.04+1.04-0.96derived
- Feed close
- 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV
- Score
- 4-3
· first seen 4h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
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| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Djurgardens vs Vaxjo LakersIce Hockey · SHL | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.04+10426/251.04+1.04-0.96derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.35 · −2.1% CLV | 4-3 | LOST |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs St. Louis CardinalsBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Frisk-Asker vs NarvikIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.18-5569/500.18-5.56+0.18derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.30 · 0.0% CLV | 7-0 | WON |
| Lillehammer vs NidarosIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.33+133133/1001.33+1.33-0.75derived | 2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.80 · +5.7% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
| Storhamar vs Ringerike IHK HoenefossIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived | 1.07-14297/1000.07-14.29+0.07from 1.08 · +0.9% CLV | 8-0 | WON |
| Stjernen vs Stavanger OilersIce Hockey · EliteHockey Ligaen | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.44+14436/251.44+1.44-0.69derived | 3.45+24549/202.45+2.45-0.41from 3.15 · −8.7% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Spartak Moscow vs AvangardIce Hockey · Regular season | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23derived | 2.05+10521/201.05+1.05-0.95from 2.15 · +4.9% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| Dynamo Moscow vs Dinamo MinskIce Hockey · Regular season | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.33+133133/1001.33+1.33-0.75derived | 2.10+11011/101.10+1.10-0.91from 2.05 · −2.4% CLV | 4-3 | WON |
| Hapoel Rishon Lezion vs Maccabi Ahi NazarethFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25derived | 1.58-17229/500.58-1.72+0.58from 1.72 · +8.9% CLV | 1-0 | WON |
| DR Congo vs Equatorial GuineaFootball · Qualifying | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived | 1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.28 · +2.4% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| HC Vitebsk vs HC Lokomotiv OrshaIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20from 1.25 · +4.2% CLV | 4-1 | WON |
| Dubai vs Real MadridBasketball · Regular season | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 78-77 | WON |
| Mountfield HK vs LiberecIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.27+127127/1001.27+1.27-0.79derived | 2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.30 · +2.2% CLV | 5-2 | WON |
| Hapoel Acre vs Hapoel AfulaFootball · Liga Leumit | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72from 1.85 · +7.6% CLV | 0-3 | WON |
| Mauritania vs Central African RepublicFootball · Qualifying | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.70 · +6.3% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Hapoel Tel-Aviv vs Bayern MunichBasketball · Regular season | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | — | 84-86 | LOST |
| Neman Grodno vs Dynamo-MolodechnoIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.89-11289/1000.89-1.12+0.89derived | 3.05+20541/202.05+2.05-0.49from 2.65 · −13.1% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| HC Brest vs HC GomelIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 2.44+14436/251.44+1.44-0.69derived | 3.10+21021/102.10+2.10-0.48from 2.15 · −30.6% CLV | 2-1 | LOST |
| HC Lida vs Khimik NovopolotskIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.52-19213/250.52-1.92+0.52derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.65 · +43.2% CLV | 4-0 | WON |
| Libya vs BotswanaFootball · Qualifying | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.60 · +3.2% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Andorra vs MaltaFootball · Division D. Group stage | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 4.05+30561/203.05+3.05-0.33from 3.30 · −18.5% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
| SC Bern vs HC AjoieIce Hockey · National league | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.23-43523/1000.23-4.35+0.23derived | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.42 · −2.1% CLV | 2:2 | VOID |
| Besiktas JK vs ValenciaBasketball · Regular season | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 94:96 | LOST |
| Lukko vs TapparaIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85from 2.15 · −0.9% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Zvezda Moscow vs Gornyak-UGMKIce Hockey · VHL | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.50 · +8.7% CLV | 2-3 | WON |
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