NC Dinos vs Hanwha Eagles
Baseball · KBO
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived
- Feed close
- —
- Score
- 8-7
· first seen 1h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
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Ice Hockey · SHL
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· first seen 4h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC Dinos vs Hanwha EaglesBaseball · KBO | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 8-7 | WON |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego PadresBaseball · MLB | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | — | 2-4 | LOST |
| Phoenix Mercury (w) vs Las Vegas Aces (w)Basketball · WNBA | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 82-100 | WON |
| Municipal Guatemala vs SuchitepequezFootball · Liga Nacional | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30from 1.33 · +2.3% CLV | 3-0 | WON |
| Athletics vs Houston AstrosBaseball · MLB | first seen 45m before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 6-5 | LOST |
| Seattle Mariners vs Los Angeles AngelsBaseball · MLB | first seen 45m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 5-7 | LOST |
| Atletico Nacional vs MillonariosFootball · Serie A | first seen 3d 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.82 · +7.1% CLV | 1-1 | LOST |
| Boston Red Sox vs Cleveland GuardiansBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | — | 0-1 | WON |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee BrewersBaseball · MLB | first seen 3h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 1-5 | WON |
| Alianza San Salvador (r) vs Fuerte San Francisco (r)Football · Reserve League | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.30-3333/100.30-3.33+0.30derived | 1.14-7147/500.14-7.14+0.14from 1.14 · 0.0% CLV | 2-2 | LOST |
| Atletico Rojiblanco vs Cuenca EcuadorFootball · Division 2. Championship Group | first seen 5m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.39-25639/1000.39-2.56+0.39derived | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67from 1.67 · 0.0% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| Cameroon vs ComorosFootball · Qualifying | first seen 5m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33from 1.35 · +1.5% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Ivory Coast vs GhanaFootball · Qualifying | first seen 5m before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.53-18953/1000.53-1.89+0.53from 1.57 · +2.6% CLV | 2-0 | WON |
| SM Caen vs RouenFootball · Ligue 3 | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.55 · +6.3% CLV | 3-2 | LOST |
| Baskonia vs OlympiacosBasketball · Regular season | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 89-106 | WON |
| Barcelona vs Anadolu EfesBasketball · Regular season | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.59-16959/1000.59-1.69+0.59derived | — | 89-82 | WON |
| Chicago Cubs vs Miami MarlinsBaseball · MLB | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.92-10923/250.92-1.09+0.92derived | — | 2-1 | WON |
| Kansas City Royals vs Chicago White SoxBaseball · MLB | first seen 5h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived | — | 1-9 | WON |
| Kloten vs EHC BielIce Hockey · National league | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 1.98 · −17.5% CLV | 0-6 | LOST |
| Crvena Zvezda vs ZalgirisBasketball · Regular season | first seen 5h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 77-83 | LOST |
| Iserlohn Roosters vs Augsburger PantherIce Hockey · DEL | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.20 · −8.3% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| HV71 vs SkellefteaIce Hockey · SHL | first seen 4h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived | 1.65-15413/200.65-1.54+0.65from 1.70 · +3.0% CLV | 4-3 | LOST |
| Farjestad vs RogleIce Hockey · SHL | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived | 1.90-1119/100.90-1.11+0.90from 2.05 · +7.9% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Lulea HF vs FrolundaIce Hockey · SHL | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.25 · +2.3% CLV | 3-7 | LOST |
| Orebro vs BjorklovenIce Hockey · SHL | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.82 · −1.6% CLV | 3-4 | LOST |
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