Södertälje SK vs AIK
Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan
HomeMatch Winner
- Tipster odds
- 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
- Feed close
- 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.05 · −1.0% CLV
- Score
- 4-5
· first seen 3h before
Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked
Tipzy Score
78
75 = break-even, proven
Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured
Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology
Settled
7146
7141 graded · 5 void
Win rate
62.6%
95% CI 61%–64%
Profit
−517.9u
over 7141u staked
Yield
−7.3%
Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.
Longest win streak
16
Longest losing streak
11
Current streak
W1
consecutive wins
Max drawdown
—
Needs 10+ priced picks
This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.
| Model claims | Picks | Measured | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30–40%avg claim 39% | 4 | — | — |
| 40–50%avg claim 44% | 94 | 42.6%33%–53% | −1.8pp |
| 50–60%avg claim 56% | 1480 | 55.3%53%–58% | −0.5pp |
| 60–70%avg claim 66% | 2561 | 60.0%58%–62% | −6.1pp |
| 70–80%avg claim 75% | 2583 | 68.4%67%–70% | −6.6pp |
| 80–90%avg claim 81% | 407 | 73.0%68%–77% | −7.6pp |
| 90–100%avg claim 91% | 12 | 83.3%55%–95% | −7.3pp |
The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.
Aug 26
−4pp
3103
Sept 26
−6pp
4027
Oct 26
+8pp
11
Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.
Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.
Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.
Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.
| Market | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Match winner | 3963 | 58.5% | −347.1u |
| Double chance | 3183 | 67.8% | −170.8u |
Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.
| League | Settled | Win rate | Profit |
|---|---|---|---|
| Premier League | 1138 | 65.7% | −56.7u |
| League 1 | 542 | 64.6% | −37.7u |
| Superleague | 508 | 60.4% | −67.9u |
| MLBMLB league page | 369 | 59.6% | +31.4u |
| League 2 | 241 | 58.1% | −38.1u |
| Division 1 | 181 | 59.1% | −27.6u |
| Division 2 | 147 | 63.3% | −11.1u |
| Serie B | 145 | 60.7% | −14.3u |
| Championship | 122 | 63.1% | −10.5u |
| National league | 117 | 55.2% | −21.2u |
| Primera NacionalPrimera Nacional league page | 114 | 60.5% | −12.0u |
| Serie A | 103 | 53.4% | −21.1u |
Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.
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Ice Hockey · Extra-liga
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Football · U19. Youth league
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Baseball · NPB
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Baseball · CPBL
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Ice Hockey · JHL
HomeMatch Winner
· first seen 1h before
| Match | Played | Selection | Tipster odds | Feed close | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Södertälje SK vs AIKIce Hockey · Allsvenskan | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.05 · −1.0% CLV | 4-5 | LOST |
| HC Kaluga vs DizelIce Hockey · VHL | first seen 15h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.35 · +2.2% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Dukla Trencin vs Dukla MichalovceIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.73 · 0.0% CLV | 3-1 | WON |
| Batov vs Nove SadyFootball · League 4 | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 2.07+107107/1001.07+1.07-0.93from 2.02 · −2.4% CLV | 3-5 | LOST |
| Nigeria vs MadagascarFootball · Qualifying | first seen 3h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.28-3577/250.28-3.57+0.28derived | 1.17-58817/1000.17-5.88+0.17from 1.19 · +1.7% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Jukurit vs K-EspooIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived | 2.80+1809/51.80+1.80-0.56from 2.75 · −1.8% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Spisska Nova Ves vs Liptovsky MikulasIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 2.05 · +10.8% CLV | 2-3 | LOST |
| Ilves vs KooKooIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20derived | 1.60-1673/50.60-1.67+0.60from 1.55 · −3.1% CLV | 6-0 | WON |
| MHC Spartak Moscow vs MHK Dinamo-ShinnikIce Hockey · JHL | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.44+14436/251.44+1.44-0.69derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.65 · −2.9% CLV | 6-2 | WON |
| Assat vs SaiPaIce Hockey · Liiga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.12 · −7.8% CLV | 0-5 | LOST |
| VERVA Litvinov vs Sparta PrahaIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.33+133133/1001.33+1.33-0.75derived | 3.50+2505/22.50+2.50-0.40from 3.30 · −5.7% CLV | 1-4 | LOST |
| Kosice vs PopradIce Hockey · Extra-liga | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 2.17+117117/1001.17+1.17-0.85derived | 2.20+1206/51.20+1.20-0.83from 2.17 · −1.4% CLV | 6-3 | WON |
| Niger vs LesothoFootball · Qualifying | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.33-30333/1000.33-3.03+0.33derived | 1.70-1437/100.70-1.43+0.70from 1.70 · 0.0% CLV | 2-1 | WON |
| Lada vs CSKAIce Hockey · Regular season | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived | 1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV | 0-5 | WON |
| Slavoj Vysehrad vs Sokol HostounFootball · League 4 | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived | 1.37-27037/1000.37-2.70+0.37from 1.30 · −5.1% CLV | 1-2 | WON |
| Traktor vs SKA St. PetersburgIce Hockey · Regular season | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived | 2.35+13527/201.35+1.35-0.74from 2.25 · −4.3% CLV | 3-4 | WON |
| Olomouc U20 vs Litomerice U20Ice Hockey · U20. League 1 | first seen 4h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | 2.40+1407/51.40+1.40-0.71from 2.40 · 0.0% CLV | 6-1 | LOST |
| Switzerland U19 vs Poland U19Football · U19. Friendly | first seen 8h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV | 0-1 | WON |
| Tokyo Yakult Swallows vs Chunichi DragonsBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 5-4 | LOST |
| Sparta Prague U19 vs Mlada Boleslav U19Football · U19. Youth league | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived | 2.70+17017/101.70+1.70-0.59from 2.85 · +5.6% CLV | 2-0 | LOST |
| Saitama Seibu Lions vs Chiba Lotte MarinesBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.79-12779/1000.79-1.27+0.79derived | — | 2-6 | LOST |
| Hiroshima Toyo Carp vs Yomiuri GiantsBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived | — | 3-2 | LOST |
| Orix Buffaloes vs Fukuoka S. HawksBaseball · NPB | first seen 2h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.72-13918/250.72-1.39+0.72derived | — | 0-9 | WON |
| TSG Hawks vs Fubon GuardiansBaseball · CPBL | first seen 1h before | AwayMatch Winner | 1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived | — | 2-1 | LOST |
| Sakhalinskie Akuly vs Taifun VladivostokIce Hockey · JHL | first seen 1h before | HomeMatch Winner | 1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45derived | 2.30+13013/101.30+1.30-0.77from 2.30 · 0.0% CLV | 1-2 | LOST |
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