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Vitibet Algorithm

Publishes on Vitibet · first tracked 2026-08-04

Link it to a Tipzy account and let subscribers get your picks by email.

Tipzy Score

78

75 = break-even, proven

Tipzy is not affiliated with Vitibet or with Vitibet Algorithm, and is not paid by either. This record is built only from picks published publicly on Vitibet and graded against the final result. How this is measured

Derived prices

Meaningful samplen=7141

Derived prices. This source publishes a probability, not a price. We convert it (1 ÷ probability) so the forecast can be scored, but it carries no bookmaker margin and nobody could have bet at it. Read the figures below as forecast accuracy, not betting returns. Methodology

Settled

7146

7141 graded · 5 void

Win rate

62.6%

95% CI 61%–64%

Profit

−517.9u

over 7141u staked

Yield

−7.3%

Streaks and worst run

Every graded pick in time order. Losing runs are what following a record actually feels like — a profitable one can still lose ten in a row. Drawdown is the deepest fall of cumulative level-stake P/L, published prices only: derived prices cannot lose real units.

Longest win streak

16

Longest losing streak

11

Current streak

W1

consecutive wins

Max drawdown

—

Needs 10+ priced picks

Claimed vs what happened

This source publishes a probability with each pick, and a probability is a checkable claim: of all the picks it called 70–80%, roughly 70–80% should win. Each row compares a band of claims against the measured outcome. Measured rate and gap are withheld below 10 graded picks.

Model claimsPicksMeasured95% CIGap
30–40%avg claim 39%4———
40–50%avg claim 44%9442.6%33%–53%33%–53%−1.8pp
50–60%avg claim 56%148055.3%53%–58%53%–58%−0.5pp
60–70%avg claim 66%256160.0%58%–62%58%–62%−6.1pp
70–80%avg claim 75%258368.4%67%–70%67%–70%−6.6pp
80–90%avg claim 81%40773.0%68%–77%68%–77%−7.6pp
90–100%avg claim 91%1283.3%55%–95%55%–95%−7.3pp

Calibration over time

The same audit month by month — an aggregate table can average a model that drifted. Gap is measured minus claimed; positive means picks won more often than claimed. Withheld below 10 graded picks in a month.

Aug 26

−4pp

3103

Sept 26

−6pp

4027

Oct 26

+8pp

11

Performance charts

Computed from derived prices (1/probability) — forecast accuracy, not an achievable betting return.

Cumulative P/L by pick (units)

all 7141

Zoom with the buttons above, the scroll wheel or a pinch; drag the chart to pan. Ends outside the shaded band (±117.4u), so chance alone is an unlikely explanation.

P/L by month (units)

P/L by league (units)

Biggest samples first · 147 smaller groups not shown · groups under 3 graded picks are excluded.

By market

Ordered by sample size. Unmapped markets are shown rather than hidden — they are picks we recorded but have not yet normalised. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a market to see its picks.

MarketSettledWin rateProfit
Match winner396358.5%−347.1u
Double chance318367.8%−170.8u

By league

Top 12 leagues by number of settled picks. Win rate is withheld below 10 settled picks. Click a league to see its picks.

LeagueSettledWin rateProfit
Premier League113865.7%−56.7u
League 154264.6%−37.7u
Superleague50860.4%−67.9u
MLB↗MLB league page36959.6%+31.4u
League 224158.1%−38.1u
Division 118159.1%−27.6u
Division 214763.3%−11.1u
Serie B14560.7%−14.3u
Championship12263.1%−10.5u
National league11755.2%−21.2u
Primera Nacional↗Primera Nacional league page11460.5%−12.0u
Serie A10353.4%−21.1u

Recent settled picks

Tips typically appear 1h before kickoff — median over 7146 picks with a captured kickoff.

Clear

Aalborg vs Esbjerg

Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.90 · +8.6% CLV
Score
0-3

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

Frederikshavn vs Herlev

Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.35 · −11.3% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

Black Wings Linz vs Pioneers Vorarlberg

Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV
Score
5-3

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

Boston Red Sox vs Chicago Cubs

Baseball · MLB

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived
Feed close
—
Score
4-3

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

Sollentuna HC U20 vs Mora U20

Ice Hockey · U20. Championship

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived
Feed close
1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.27 · 0.0% CLV
Score
1-5

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

Mora vs Vesteros

Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.75 · −5.4% CLV
Score
6-3

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

Oskarshamn vs Ostersunds IK

Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.70 · −2.9% CLV
Score
4-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

Lunds BK vs Kristianstad FC

Football · Division 2. South

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.52 · +12.6% CLV
Score
0-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

Slovenia vs Scotland

Football · Division B. Group stage

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived
Feed close
2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.95 · +7.3% CLV
Score
0:0

2026-09-26 · first seen 7m before

Odense vs Herning Blue Fox

Ice Hockey · Metal Ligaen

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

Hammarby Talang vs IFK Stocksund

Football · Division 2. North

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived
Feed close
1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

Kalmar vs Nybro Vikings IF

Ice Hockey · Allsvenskan

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived
Feed close
1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.57 · +8.3% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

SC/ESV Parndorf vs Favoritner

Football · Regional League. East

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV
Score
1-0

2026-09-25 · first seen 4h before

Graz vs Vienna Capitals

Ice Hockey · ICE Hockey League

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived
Feed close
1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.60 · −7.5% CLV
Score
3-2

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

Jokerit vs TPS

Ice Hockey · Liiga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV
Score
1-2

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

Bjerringbro-Silkeborg vs Skive FH

Handball · Herre Ligaen

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived
Feed close
1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.18 · −0.8% CLV
Score
32-31

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

Rytiiri Kladno vs Skoda Plzen

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived
Feed close
2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.30 · −11.5% CLV
Score
3-4

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

Zvolen vs Slovan Bratislava

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.33+133133/1001.33+1.33-0.75derived
Feed close
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV
Score
1-6

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

Olomouc vs Kometa Brno

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Won

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived
Feed close
2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.30 · −13.2% CLV
Score
2-4

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

Energie Karlovy Vary vs Motor Ceske Budejovice

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived
Feed close
1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

Bodo/Glimt (w) vs Roa (w)

Football · Women. Superleague

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived
Feed close
1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

Buran Voronezh vs HC Norilsk

Ice Hockey · VHL

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived
Feed close
2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.50 · 0.0% CLV
Score
2-3

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

HK Nitra vs Zilina

Ice Hockey · Extra-liga

Lost

AwayMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.65 · −11.7% CLV
Score
3-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

Dynamo Pardubice U20 vs Mlada Boleslav U20

Ice Hockey · U20. Extra-liga

Lost

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived
Feed close
3.60+26013/52.60+2.60-0.38from 3.65 · +1.4% CLV
Score
5-1

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

AKM vs Kristall Saratov

Ice Hockey · VHL

Won

HomeMatch Winner

Tipster odds
1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived
Feed close
1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV
Score
7-2

2026-09-25 · first seen 3h before

MatchPlayedSelectionTipster oddsFeed closeScoreResult
Aalborg vs EsbjergIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.90 · +8.6% CLV0-3LOST
Frederikshavn vs HerlevIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.20-5001/50.20-5.00+0.20derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.35 · −11.3% CLV2-1WON
Black Wings Linz vs Pioneers VorarlbergIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.57 · +1.3% CLV5-3WON
Boston Red Sox vs Chicago CubsBaseball · MLB2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.96-10424/250.96-1.04+0.96derived—4-3LOST
Sollentuna HC U20 vs Mora U20Ice Hockey · U20. Championship2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27derived1.27-37027/1000.27-3.70+0.27from 1.27 · 0.0% CLV1-5WON
Mora vs VesterosIce Hockey · Allsvenskan2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.75 · −5.4% CLV6-3WON
Oskarshamn vs Ostersunds IKIce Hockey · Allsvenskan2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.32-3128/250.32-3.12+0.32derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.70 · −2.9% CLV4-1WON
Lunds BK vs Kristianstad FCFootball · Division 2. South2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.35-2867/200.35-2.86+0.35from 1.52 · +12.6% CLV0-1LOST
Slovenia vs ScotlandFootball · Division B. Group stage2026-09-26first seen 7m beforeAwayMatch Winner1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85derived2.75+1757/41.75+1.75-0.57from 2.95 · +7.3% CLV0:0LOST
Odense vs Herning Blue FoxIce Hockey · Metal Ligaen2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.56-17914/250.56-1.79+0.56derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.45 · −6.5% CLV2-3WON
Hammarby Talang vs IFK StocksundFootball · Division 2. North2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.41-24441/1000.41-2.44+0.41derived1.25-4001/40.25-4.00+0.25from 1.20 · −4.0% CLV2-1WON
Kalmar vs Nybro Vikings IFIce Hockey · Allsvenskan2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.43-23343/1000.43-2.33+0.43derived1.45-2229/200.45-2.22+0.45from 1.57 · +8.3% CLV5-1WON
SC/ESV Parndorf vs FavoritnerFootball · Regional League. East2026-09-25first seen 4h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.40-2502/50.40-2.50+0.40from 1.35 · −3.6% CLV1-0WON
Graz vs Vienna CapitalsIce Hockey · ICE Hockey League2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.47-21347/1000.47-2.13+0.47derived1.73-13773/1000.73-1.37+0.73from 1.60 · −7.5% CLV3-2WON
Jokerit vs TPSIce Hockey · Liiga2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived2.25+1255/41.25+1.25-0.80from 2.15 · −4.4% CLV1-2WON
Bjerringbro-Silkeborg vs Skive FHHandball · Herre Ligaen2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.54-18527/500.54-1.85+0.54derived1.19-52619/1000.19-5.26+0.19from 1.18 · −0.8% CLV32-31WON
Rytiiri Kladno vs Skoda PlzenIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.61-16461/1000.61-1.64+0.61derived2.60+1608/51.60+1.60-0.63from 2.30 · −11.5% CLV3-4LOST
Zvolen vs Slovan BratislavaIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.33+133133/1001.33+1.33-0.75derived2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00from 1.95 · −2.5% CLV1-6WON
Olomouc vs Kometa BrnoIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.82-12241/500.82-1.22+0.82derived2.65+16533/201.65+1.65-0.61from 2.30 · −13.2% CLV2-4WON
Energie Karlovy Vary vs Motor Ceske BudejoviceIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.69-14569/1000.69-1.45+0.69derived1.85-11817/200.85-1.18+0.85from 1.85 · 0.0% CLV5-1WON
Bodo/Glimt (w) vs Roa (w)Football · Women. Superleague2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75derived1.55-18211/200.55-1.82+0.55from 1.55 · 0.0% CLV2-1LOST
Buran Voronezh vs HC NorilskIce Hockey · VHL2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.64-15616/250.64-1.56+0.64derived2.50+1503/21.50+1.50-0.67from 2.50 · 0.0% CLV2-3LOST
HK Nitra vs ZilinaIce Hockey · Extra-liga2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeAwayMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived3.00+2002/12.00+2.00-0.50from 2.65 · −11.7% CLV3-1LOST
Dynamo Pardubice U20 vs Mlada Boleslav U20Ice Hockey · U20. Extra-liga2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner2.00+1001/11.00+1.00+1.00derived3.60+26013/52.60+2.60-0.38from 3.65 · +1.4% CLV5-1LOST
AKM vs Kristall SaratovIce Hockey · VHL2026-09-25first seen 3h beforeHomeMatch Winner1.67-14967/1000.67-1.49+0.67derived1.75-1333/40.75-1.33+0.75from 1.80 · +2.9% CLV7-2WON

526–550 of 3963· 2314 won / 1644 lost · −347.1u · −8.8% yield · of 7146 total

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Think this record is wrong — a pick you did not publish, a wrong grade, a mis-matched fixture? Tell us and we will check it against what we captured and correct anything we got wrong.